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OIL AND GAS
Too soon to lift oil export ban, Congress hears
by Daniel J. Graeber
Washington (UPI) Dec 12, 2014


IEA outlook bruises oil markets further
New York (UPI) Dec 12, 2014 - A Friday decision by the International Energy Agency to trim its oil demand forecast added insult to injury, pushing oil price indices to record lows.

The IEA said in its market report for December the outlook ahead was weaker than previously expected. The outlook for 2015 demand growth was trimmed by 230,000 barrels per day to just under 1 million bpd because of lower expectations about the Russian economy and other oil-exporting countries impacted by the bear market for crude oil.

That word sent oil prices reeling in a market already battered by low demand expectations outlined in the December market report from the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries.

Brent, the global benchmark, shed more than $1.20 per barrel for the January contract to trade at $62.46 early Friday. West Texas Intermediate, the U.S. index, passed a new threshold low to trade down $1.30 to near $58.50 for January delivery.

Oil prices are at a point where producers may find it difficult to make a profit. Several major oil companies have cut back on their spending forecasts because of what are considered exceptionally difficult market conditions.

IEA said in its Friday report global oil production was off more than 300,000 bpd in November to 94.1 million bpd because of lower OPEC supplies.

For U.S. shale production, the U.S. Energy Information Administration said there was still some momentum. EIA said next year's drilling activity is expected to decline.

"However, projected oil prices remain high enough to support development drilling activity in the Bakken, Eagle Ford, Niobrara, and Permian Basin, which contribute the majority of U.S. oil production growth," it said in a Friday brief.

It may be premature to ease restrictions on U.S. crude oil imports despite early indications of economic benefits, analysts told lawmakers on Capitol Hill.

The House Energy and Commerce Committee heard testimony Thursday on the validity of restrictions on U.S. crude oil exports at a time when production, largely from shale, is at 40-year highs. With U.S. oil production eclipsing 9 million barrels per day, those in the exploration and production sector say the time is ripe to consider repealing a 1970s-era ban on crude oil exports.

Studies conducted by the Brookings Institution, IHS Energy, the Dallas Federal Reserve Bank, and the U.S. Government Accountability Office found there would be consumer benefits, like low gasoline prices, from easing the restrictions, though each found lifting the ban did little to eliminate foreign dependency.

Deborah Gordon, director of energy programs at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, testified there were too many uncertainties in the global marketplace as well as the U.S. crude oil industry to rush ahead with new export policies.

With Asian economies slowing down, the appetite for U.S. oil may be dwindling, she said. Furthermore, the shale boom is still a relatively new phenomenon.

"Ironically, there is more detailed open data available about OPEC crudes than those oils in the Bakken, Permian, or Eagle Ford basins," she testified.

Charles Ebinger, a senior energy fellow at Brookings, testified there were indeed economic benefits that would come from easing the ban. But Lucian Pugliaresi, president of the Energy Policy Research Foundation, said there may be unintended consequences.

"Often these policies, in an attempt to either promote the development of alternatives to petroleum or to insulate consumers form price volatility, prevented more productive responses from both consumers and producers," he testified.

Some companies operating in U.S. shale basins have exported an ultra-light form of oil dubbed condensate, which may be classified as a petroleum product and not crude oil under existing rules.

Rep. Ed Whitfield, R-Ky., chairman of the subcommittee on energy and power, said in his opening remarks shale oil reserves are producing a product that many refineries in the United States aren't set up to process.

"This light oil is better suited to many foreign refineries, and for that reason there is a strong demand for American oil around the world," he said.

Crude oil exports are restricted under legislation enacted in response to the oil embargo from Arab members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries in the 1970s.


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