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POLITICAL ECONOMY
China manufacturing activity improves: HSBC
by Staff Writers
Beijing (AFP) April 23, 2012


China's manufacturing activity improved in April but remained in contraction, HSBC said Monday, bolstering the case for the government to give a boost to the world's number two economy.

HSBC's purchasing managers index (PMI), which measures factory output, rose to 49.1 in April, up from 48.3 in March, the British banking giant said in a statement.

A reading above 50 indicates expansion, while a reading below 50 suggests contraction. The bank's data marks the sixth straight month the reading remained in contraction.

HSBC's chief economist for China, Qu Hongbin, said the data suggested government measures to spur the economy were having an impact and "should ease concerns of a sharp growth slowdown".

"That said, the pace of both output and demand growth remains at a low level in an historical context and the job market is under pressure. This calls for additional easing measures in the coming months," Qu said in the statement.

Other analysts echoed that view, saying the government will need to further ease monetary policy, most likely through a cut in reserve requirements for banks.

"The pick-up in PMI has reduced worries over China's economic growth, but it will not affect the overall loosening trend for China's monetary policy," You Hongye, an analyst at Essence Securities in Beijing, told AFP.

China economy grew by 8.1 percent in the first quarter of this year, its slowest pace in nearly three years, putting pressure on Beijing to loosen its monetary policy.

Beijing has cut bank reserve requirements twice since December last year, as policymakers aim to boost lending.

In a research report, securities house Nomura said China would boost spending on infrastructure and cut bank reserves as early as May.

"We still expect monetary and fiscal policy to be loosened in Q2," said Zhang Zhiwei, Nomura China chief economist.

HSBC's figures are typically more pessimistic than China's official numbers. The official data for April has not yet been released.

The HSBC survey puts more emphasis on smaller companies, which are suffering more in the economic downturn than state-owned giants.

The official Chinese government data released last month had shown manufacturing output rose to its highest level in a year in March, the fourth consecutive month that the official numbers indicated expansion.

China's economy is widely expected to slow this year as woes in key export markets such as Europe and the United States hit its overseas sales.

The government has set a target of 7.5 percent economic growth this year. China's economy grew 9.2 percent last year and 10.4 percent in 2010.

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Oil mixed in Asia as China manufacturing output rises
Singapore (AFP) April 23, 2012 - Oil prices turned mixed in Asian trade Monday with traders cheered by data indicating an uptick in China's manufacturing sector, analysts said.

New York's main contract, light sweet crude for delivery in June shed nine cents to $103.79 while Brent North Sea crude for June delivery rose four cents to $118.80.

Oil prices were supported by an HSBC report showing that China's manufacturing sector rose slightly in April from a month ago.

HSBC's purchasing managers index (PMI), which measures factory output, rose to 49.1 in April, up from 48.3 in March, the banking group said in a statement.

Although the reading remained below the 50-point mark indicating expansionary activity, analysts said the rise was still noteworthy.

"As April flash PMI ticked higher, this suggests that the earlier easing measures have started to work and hence should ease concerns of a sharp growth slowdown," HSBC's China chief economist Qu Hongbin said.

But Qu warned that China's economy still faced challenges, stating "the pace of both output and demand growth remains at a low level in an historical context and the job market is under pressure."

China's economy is closely watched by oil traders as it is the world's largest energy consuming nation.

Aside from the Chinese data, traders were also looking to a meeting of the US Federal Reserve's interest rate-setting panel on Tuesday and Wednesday amid fresh anxiety over the slow pace of the revival of the world's largest economy.

Analysts said the Fed meeting will decide whether more economic stimulus is warranted as high gasoline prices, slowing job growth and Europe's debt problems have raised fears of another spring stumble.

"The market is in quite a cautionary mode at the moment," said Justin Harper, market strategist for IG Markets Singapore.



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POLITICAL ECONOMY
China to ease policy as economy slows: Xinhua
Shanghai (AFP) April 19, 2012
China will ease monetary policy and boost liquidity in the financial system with a series of measures, state media cited a central bank official as saying, in a bid to avoid a sharp economic slowdown. The official Xinhua news agency quoted an unnamed official at the People's Bank of China as saying it planned to "steadily" introduce the measures, including cutting the amount of cash lenders ... read more


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