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NUKEWARS
Don't waver in Iran talks, Israel warns P5+1
by Staff Writers
Jerusalem (AFP) May 23, 2012

Britain 'mulling role in any Iran-Israel conflict'
London (AFP) May 23, 2012 - Britain's leaders are discussing how to respond to any military confrontation between Israel and Iran, including the possible involvement of its navy, the BBC reported Wednesday.

As six world powers began talks in Baghdad with Iran on its nuclear programme, the BBC said the National Security Council, which is chaired by Prime Minister David Cameron, had met last week to discuss the issue.

It had discussed "not just the possibility of a military confrontation but what role, if any, Britain might play and whether any involvement would be legal", the report said.

Government lawyers have been examining the legality of any British involvement, "ranging from British diplomatic support for Israel through to the possible involvement of the Royal Navy in the region", the BBC reported.

Senior ministers on the council were told that if talks with Iran fail and Israel attacks its nuclear facilities, this might trigger a wider war in the Middle East, the report said, without citing sources.

Iran might respond not just by attacking Israel but also by closing the Strait of Hormuz, a key transit route for global oil supplies, the council -- which co-ordinates responses to national security threats -- was told at a meeting in London last week, said the report by the BBC's political editor.

Top officials from the United States, Russia, China, Britain, France and Germany began talks with Iranian leaders in the Iraqi capital on Wednesday, aiming to persuade Tehran to suspend sensitive nuclear work.

A spokesman for Cameron said Britain would "vigorously" pursue the talks but declined to say what preparations the government was making in case they failed.

"The government has contingency plans for a whole range of things, but we don't comment on them and I don't think it is helpful to speculate on these things," he told reporters.

"Iran is an issue that is discussed both by the National Security Council and Cabinet on a reasonably regular basis."

Leaders in Israel, widely believed to be the Middle East's sole if undeclared nuclear armed state, believe the country's existence could be threatened if Iran develops atomic weapons and have repeatedly said all options are on the table.

A former chief of Britain's defence staff, Air Chief Marshal Jock Stirrup, warned parliament's upper house last week that Iran could retaliate against Britain if attacked by Israel, meaning London must be prepared to respond.

Cameron told a parliamentary committee in March: "We think that military action against Iran by Israel would not be the right approach. We've said that both publicly and privately to the Israelis."


Israeli Defence Minister Ehud Barak urged world powers not to waver in Wednesday's key talks with Iran, warning that any failure to halt enrichment would see Tehran obtain a nuclear weapon.

"In Baghdad, we must watch out that partial concessions do not allow Iran to avoid a tightening of sanctions," he said, as a second round of talks between Tehran and six world powers got underway in the Iraqi capital.

"Without strengthening the current painful sanctions, Iran will continue towards a nuclear capability," the defence minister told Israel's public radio.

"We must not blink, give up or capitulate until the very last minute," he said.

"If they let them continue, Iran will keep on enriching uranium from 20 percent to 60 percent and 90 percent and they really will get a nuclear weapon. I don't know exactly when but it will happen," he warned.

"Now is the time for the entire world to stop them," said Barak.

The so-called P5+1 grouping of diplomats from permanent UN Security Council members Britain, China, France, Russia and the United States plus Germany held a first round of talks with Iran on April 14 in Istanbul.

A day ahead of the second round, UN nuclear watchdog chief Yukiya Amano said his agency was poised to ink a deal with Tehran.

His comments were greeted with deep suspicion by Israel, which sees Iran's willingness to talk as a ploy to win an easing of sanctions and to gain more time for enrichment.

The world powers are hoping to secure Iran's agreement to suspend 20 percent enrichment and to ship its stockpiles of enriched uranium abroad.

But Israel has poured scorn on the P5+1 talks, with Barak deriding its demands of Tehran as "minimalist" and saying they would never be enough to make Iran halt its nuclear programme.

"If we set the bar too low, there is a danger that they will get most, if not all of what they want, and the Iranian nuclear programme will continue," he said.

Anything less than a demand to stop enriching uranium to 20 percent and to 3.5 percent, to remove all enriched uranium outside of the country, and to close down the Fordo plant near the holy city of Qom, was not enough, he said.

"The Iranians are continuing their game of chess in order to achieve nuclear weapons," he said, adding the customary warning: that "all options remain on the table" -- a reference to a possible pre-emptive military strike, which Israel has refused to rule out.

Later Wednesday, Strategic Affairs Minister Moshe Yaalon articulated the Israeli warning.

"The sanctions must continue and tighten, alongside international seclusion, support of the opposition and a reliable military option," he wrote on his Twitter account.

"If all this does not help, someone might have to instigate a military move against Iran," he warned, without noting who or how.

Earlier this year, Yaalon -- who served as Israel's military chief -- warned that no Iranian facility, however reinforced, is immune to Israeli attack.

The West and Israel, widely considered the Middle East's sole if undeclared nuclear power, suspect Iran is using its nuclear programme to build atomic weapons, charges that Tehran denies.

P5+1 making proposals 'of interest to Iran': EU
Baghdad (AFP) May 23, 2012 - World powers laid out on Wednesday a new package of proposals in crunch talks over Iran's nuclear programme which will be "of interest" to Tehran, a spokesman for the EU's foreign policy chief said.

"I am not going to go into the details of what we are proposing but of course we are putting proposals on the table that are also of interest to Iran," Michael Mann, spokesman for Catherine Ashton, told reporters at the talks in Baghdad.

"We have put a new offer on the table which addresses our main concerns to do with the Iranian nuclear programme," Mann said.

"We hope the Iranians will come back with a positive reaction to our proposals to deal with the concerns of the international community and to meet their international obligations under UN Security Council resolutions and the IAEA's findings ... There are things we can do for Iran."

After Ashton lays out the proposals hammered out in Amman on Tuesday by the P5+1 -- the United States, Russia, China, Britain, France and Germany -- the Iranians would then be given the floor to respond, he said.

Media reports said the package included a revival of previous attempts at a deal whereby Iran would ship abroad its stockpiles of enriched uranium in return for fuel for a reactor producing medical isotopes.

In return the P5+1 are expected to demand that Iran suspend what they see as the most worrying part of Tehran's nuclear programme, namely the enrichment of uranium to purities of 20 percent.

Uranium enriched at lower levels of around three percent can be used in power generation -- Iran currently has one atomic power plant -- or at 20 percent to produce medical isotopes, used to diagnose cancers and other diseases.

But the capability to enrich to 20 percent has raised fears in much of the international community that Iran could also begin to enrich to 90 percent purities -- the level needed for the fissile core of a nuclear weapon.

"Obviously, the ball is in their court now. We have a number of things that we want them to do. Obviously the enrichment of uranium to 20 percent is one of the major things that the international community is worried about," Mann told Al-Jazeera in an interview.

The media reports, described by one P5+1 diplomat as "pretty spot on", said the world powers would however not offer to relax existing sanctions or postpone other restrictions due to come into force, as Iran wants.

Instead, Iran could be given a pledge of no new sanctions, easier access to aircraft parts and a possible suspension of an EU insurance ban on ships carrying Iranian oil.

"This is the second meeting. Istanbul kicked off the process (in mid-April) of discussions. Now we're getting on to the real substance of the matter," Mann said.

"This is a process, you are not going to get dramatic happenings today, I don't think. We are going to make solid progress if things go well," he said.

"It has never been the intention that today would be the end of negotiations. Today is part of a process. We are keen to get a move on but these things can't be solved overnight."

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Iran makes counter-proposal in nuclear talks
Baghdad (AFP) May 23, 2012 - Iran made a counter-proposal on Wednesday to the P5+1 group of world powers on resolving the crisis over Tehran's nuclear programme in crunch talks in Baghdad that looked set to enter a second day.

"Iran proposed a package with five items based on the principles of step-by-step and reciprocity, and we are waiting for the reaction of the P5+1 during meetings this afternoon," an Iranian official said, speaking on condition of anonymity and without elaborating on the offer.

"We said to the other side that we need a comprehensive approach. We need the steps that both sides have to take to be clearly defined and there is no possibility of going back on them," the official said.

"For example, that they lift sanctions that they cannot then readopt two months later under a different pretext."

The Iranian counter-proposal came after EU foreign policy chief Catherine Ashton presented a package of new incentives on behalf of the P5+1 -- Britain, China, France, Russia and the United States, plus Germany.

Iranian state media ran reports slamming the P5+1 package, with the IRNA news agency calling it "outdated, not comprehensive, and unbalanced."

Ashton's spokesman gave no details on what the incentives included but reports said they fell short of meeting Iran's key demand for an easing of the sanctions piled on the country in recent years -- more are due on July 1.

Instead the P5+1 were offering to pledge not to impose any new sanctions, as well as sweeteners including easing Iranian access to aircraft parts and a possible suspension of an EU insurance ban on ships carrying Iranian oil.

It also reportedly included a revival of previous attempts to get Iran to ship abroad its stockpiles of enriched uranium in return for fuel for a reactor producing medical isotopes.

Iran says that a lack of fuel plates for this reactor was the reason it started in 2010 to enrich uranium to purities of 20 percent, a capability that reduces the theoretical "breakout" time needed to get the bomb.

Iran announced on Tuesday, however, that it was loading domestically produced, 20-percent enriched uranium fuel into the reactor, and the Iranian official in Baghdad was dismissive.

"A possible swap of uranium enriched by Iran for fuel isn't very interesting for us because we are are already producing our own fuel," the official said.

In return for its incentives, the P5+1 are thought to want Iran to at least suspend 20-percent enrichment until the powers and the International Atomic Energy Agency are satisfied that Tehran's programme is purely peaceful.

The UN watchdog also wants Iran to address allegations made in its November report that until 2003, and possibly since, Tehran had a "structured programme" of "activities relevant to the development of a nuclear explosive device."

The Iranian official said talks would continue Wednesday evening and into Thursday.

Iran was to continue its negotiations with the EU's Ashton and China's delegate to the talks, Ma Zhaoxu, but not with Washington's envoy Wendy Shermann, before the next session from 1500 GMT, the official added.



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NUKEWARS
Iran signals suggest nuke deal in Baghdad
Baghdad (UPI) May 22, 2012
The signals coming out of Tehran in recent days suggest a breakthrough is possible in talks in Baghdad Wednesday between the five permanent members of the U.N. Security Council plus Germany and Iran over its contentious nuclear program. Even the Israelis, whose government has been threatening pre-emptive strikes against Iran's nuclear facilities, are conceding that tone of Iranian state ... read more


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