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CLIMATE SCIENCE
EU warns climate talks at risk of floundering
by Staff Writers
Bonn (AFP) May 23, 2012

Low Peru temperatures kill 94 children since January
Lima (AFP) May 23, 2012 - Nearly 100 children under the age of five died of pneumonia between January and April in Peru due to a cold wave that swept through the country's Andean region, the Health Ministry said Wednesday.

The ministry reported over 797,000 episodes of non-pneumonic acute respiratory infections in toddlers during the period, along with 9,286 cases of pneumonia.

The total number of reported deaths from pneumonia stood at 94 from January 1 to April 28, health authorities said in a bulletin. Most of the deaths were in the southern and southeastern departments -- the poorest in the country.

Temperatures there reached 10 degrees below zero Celsius (14 degrees Fahrenheit) in areas with elevations above 3,500 meters (11,480 feet).

Last year, cold temperatures in the Andes killed 359 children under the age of five, according to the Health Ministry.

The World Health Organization says pneumonia is the leading cause of infant mortality worldwide, killing some 1.4 million children under five each year.


Europe warned at climate talks in Bonn on Wednesday that efforts to forge a new global pact to avert environmental disaster were in danger of floundering, and some pointed fingers at China.

Nine days into talks meant to set the stage for a United Nations gathering in Qatar in December where countries must set new targets for curbing Earth-warming gas emissions, negotiators said procedural bickering was quashing progress hopes.

With only two days left in this negotiating round, the parties have failed to agree on an agenda for a newly established body dubbed the ADP tasked with overseeing the drafting of a new all-encompassing pact by 2015.

And in a further sign of trouble, elections were called late Wednesday for the ADP's top officers after several days of meetings failed to yield a consensus candidate.

The secret ballot to be held Thursday if no last-minute agreement is reached, will mark the first time in the 20-year history of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change environment treaty that a lack of consensus on a chairmanship forces a vote.

"If this slow pace of negotiations continues... it poses the risk of unraveling the Durban package," Danish chief negotiator Christian Pilgaard Zinglersen warned on behalf of the European Union.

He was referring to an agreement reached in South Africa last year to bind all countries under a new pact from 2020 to curb Earth-warming greenhouse gas emissions, not just developed nations as is the case now.

Pilgaard told the Bonn gathering that some parties, which he did not name, wanted to rehash issues that have already been settled.

"We are very concerned that the spirit of cooperation that prevailed in Durban has not carried over into this session," the diplomat said in a prepared speech.

French climate ambassador Serge Lepeltier said that China specifically "gives the impression of having hardened its positions since Durban".

And Wael Hmaidan, director of activist group Climate Action Network, said China was "blocking the ADP" out of fear that rich nations were trying to shift more of the emissions curbing burden onto poorer states than was historically fair.

"Since the ADP has no firewall between developed and developing countries, that means they will have the same kind of commitments as developed countries under the ADP," said Hmaidan, who is himself taking part in the talks.

"This is where the fight is."

Late Wednesday, a message was broadcast on television screens at the conference venue that "following unsuccessful consultations among regional groups, the ADP will be invited to elect its officers" on Thursday.

A document on the UNFCCC website said talks to choose the officers by consensus "fell apart" and "the only avenue left is an election".

Delegates told AFP that part of the bickering arose from small island states supporting a candidate from Trinidad and Tobago put forward by Latin America rather than the Indian candidate suggested by its own Asian bloc.

As countries bicker, researchers recently predicted Earth's temperature rising by as much as five degrees Celsius (9.0 degrees Fahrenheit) from pre-industrial levels, instead of the 2 C (3.6 F) limit being targeted.

While rich nations bear most of the historical responsibility for global warming, their place is being taken by emerging giants such as China, India and Brazil which emit massive amounts of carbon in their rapid development.

These countries will also have to meet emissions curb under a new deal, but some are reticent for fear the restrictions may slow down their economic growth machines.

The Kyoto protocol's first roster of pledges expires at the end of the year, and an amended version must be adopted in Qatar to regulate emissions curbs until 2020.

But Zinglersen said Wednesday: "We are very concerned that success in Doha is currently far from certain. With only two days left in Bonn we have made very little progress on a number of key issues."

The United States had never ratified the Kyoto Protocol, while Russia and Japan have said they did not intend to sign up from next year. Australia and New Zealand have not confirmed their positions, while Canada withdrew from the protocol last year.

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Kyoto Protocol architect 'frustrated' by climate dialogue
Bonn (AFP) May 23, 2012 - UN climate talks are going nowhere, as politicians dither or bicker while the pace of warming dangerously speeds up, one of the architects of the Kyoto Protocol told AFP.

"It seems to me that negotiations are returning to square one," said Raul Estrada, the "father" of the world's only treaty to specify curbs in greenhouse gases, as the first talks for a new global pact took place in Bonn.

In a telephone interview from Buenos Aires this week, Estrada defended his beleaguered accord and said efforts to engineer a replacement were in trouble.

"We are throwing the dice and then we advance three or four places. Then you throw again and you go back. This is the exercise on climate," said the Argentine ex-diplomat who steered the historic 1997 conference which yielded Kyoto's framework.

Kyoto binds 37 rich nations to reducing carbon emissions but does not have any targeted commitments for poor economies.

It is a format that critics say is hopelessly out of date today, given that China, India and Brazil are now giant emitters.

Kyoto's first roster of pledges expires at the end of the year. Renewing it is one of several keys to unlocking a wider deal to be completed by 2015 and take effect by 2020.

Kyoto "is an excellent source of experience for any successor treaty," Estrada said.

He added he had "serious concerns" about the 2020 negotiations launched last December in South Africa under the 194-party UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC).

Senior officials are meeting in Bonn for the first round of talks to follow up the so-called Durban Platform. The 11-day parlay runs until Friday.

"There is very little science in the discussion, mostly political interests or political arguments trying to use things that were decided 20 or 30 years ago," Estrada said.

With climate discussions in a fragile state since the chaotic 2009 Copenhagen Summit, Estrada said political and economic problems at home were preventing many countries from tackling climate change with the urgency it needed.

New research recently predicted Earth's temperature rising by as much as five degrees Celsius (9.0 degrees Fahrenheit) from pre-industrial levels on current pledges, instead of the 2 C (3.6 F) limit targeted under the UNFCCC banner.

He pointed the finger at countries that had failed to live up to their Kyoto undertakings.

"I'm frustrated by those governments with whom we adopted the protocol unanimously in Kyoto, not by consensus but unanimously, and later didn't ratify it like the USA or, having ratified the protocol, now they don't comply with it, like Canada and Italy," said Estrada.

Kyoto, which came into force in 2005, envisioned a five-percent reduction of warming gas emissions by rich countries by 2012 from 1990 levels.

Globally, though, emissions have leapt to ever greater heights, driven especially by emerging giants which are burning coal to power their growth.

The United States signed but did not ratify the accord, while Russia and Japan have said they did not intend to sign up after Kyoto expires this year.

Canada has become the only country to withdraw from the Kyoto Protocol, and recently said it would not achieve the target of reducing emissions by 17 percent by 2020 from 2005 levels.

Estrada said the new 2020 pact must include emission targets not only for countries but for industrial sectors, too -- "the amount of carbon you are going to emit by ton of iron or steel or 1,000 megawatts or something like that."



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CLIMATE SCIENCE
Kyoto Protocol architect 'frustrated' by climate dialogue
Bonn (AFP) May 23, 2012
UN climate talks are going nowhere, as politicians dither or bicker while the pace of warming dangerously speeds up, one of the architects of the Kyoto Protocol told AFP. "It seems to me that negotiations are returning to square one," said Raul Estrada, the "father" of the world's only treaty to specify curbs in greenhouse gases, as the first talks for a new global pact took place in Bonn. ... read more


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