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WAR REPORT
Egypt unrest stirs fears inside Israel
by Staff Writers
Jerusalem (AFP) Nov 23, 2011


Days of protest in Egypt, ahead of elections expected to produce big wins for the Muslim Brotherhood, have stirred fears in Israel about bilateral ties and the future of the countries' peace treaty.

Israel had largely avoided comment on the unrest, which has seen dozens of Egyptians killed, but with protesters showing no signs of calling off their demonstrations, officials here have started to show concern.

On Wednesday, Israel's civil defence minister Matan Vilnai urged Field Marshal Hussein Tantawi, who heads Egypt's ruling military council, to bring the situation under control.

"The situation is problematic, sensitive and unclear. Tantawi is trying to avoid chaos and transfer power in the mostly orderly way possible," Vilnai told Israeli military radio.

"We hope that he will succeed... otherwise we will see general chaos and that will be very bad for Egypt."

Vilnai said Israeli officials were in "permanent contact" with members of the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces (SCAF), including Tantawi.

"I know him and he has no desire to stay in power," Vilnai added.

Egypt has been rocked in recent days by widespread protests, which come days before the first post-revolution elections, calling on the SCAF to guarantee a faster transition to civilian rule.

Protesters accuse the military of abusing its power and trying to write laws that would shield it from civilian oversight.

In Israel, the demonstrations and the elections have reawakened fears about the future of Egypt, bilateral relations and the country's peace treaty with the Jewish state.

Israeli officials and media commentators have made no secret of their concern about the rise of the Muslim Brotherhood, expected to perform well in the elections scheduled to begin on November 28.

"It's our main concern," Vilnai said Wednesday.

The top-selling Yediot Aharonot on Wednesday headlined its front page "Between Cairo and Tehran" in reference to the rise of Islamist forces in Egypt.

And the Maariv newspaper reported that Israel's army chief Benny Gantz "has presented to the security cabinet a scenario involving the cancellation of the peace treaty" between Egypt and Israel.

The report was denied by the military and Vilnai said it was premature to talk about the treaty being annulled.

"The cancellation of the treaty is not today -- and I stress the word today -- a reality," he said.

But he acknowledged Israel fears a serious degradation in ties with Cairo once a new government comes to power.

"But when Egyptian government stabilises after a long electoral process, we expect it will seriously undermine the accord," he said,

Nati Sharoni, a reserve general and president of a left-leaning Israeli think tank, sounded a more upbeat note, saying he expected the treaty to survive Egypt's upheaval and elections.

"The treaty will hold up fine, not for love of Israel but because it is in Egypt's fundamental interests," he said.

Danny Yatom, a former member of Israel's intelligence service Mossad, shared Sharoni's assessment.

"The accord is sponsored by the United States and the Egyptian army will continue to depend on American technology and subsidies after the elections," he said.

Still, Israeli officials are taking seriously the possibility of the treaty being cancelled or at least modified.

Israeli daily Haaretz reported the developments in Syria and Egypt formed the core of an annual presentation by all Israel's intelligence agencies to the country's security cabinet.

The newspaper also said Egyptian officials, including intelligence chief Murad Muwafi, have been at pains to reassure Israel, telling their counterparts the treaty is not in danger.

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UN resolution on Syria 'counterproductive': China
Beijing (AFP) Nov 23, 2011 - China said Wednesday a UN human rights resolution condemning Syria's deadly eight-month crackdown on anti-government protestors was "counterproductive".

China was among 41 nations to abstain from voting on the resolution, which strongly condemns "continued grave and systematic human rights violations" by Syria that the United Nations estimates has left more than 3,500 dead.

"Using a resolution to pressure other countries is counterproductive to easing the situation," Chinese foreign ministry spokesman Liu Weimin told a regular press briefing.

"We always believe that constructive dialogue and cooperation is the only way to promote and protect human rights," Liu said.

Last month, China and Russia vetoed a UN Security Council resolution condemning the crackdown by Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, saying it would be used as an excuse to carry out regime change.

The double veto was both condemned and lamented in Western capitals, with the United States saying it was "outraged" and France bemoaning it as a "sad day" for Syria's people and the Security Council.

Days later, Beijing urged Damascus to speed up the implementation of reforms, veering away from its longstanding policy of non-interference in the country's affairs.

On Wednesday, it reiterated its call for both sides in Syria to halt violence and launch an inclusive political process.



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WAR REPORT
Hezbollah 'cripples' CIA -- or so it seems
Beirut, Lebanon (UPI) Nov 22, 2011
Hezbollah's roll-up of an alleged CIA operation in Beirut has given the Iranian-backed movement an immense boost at a time when its ally, the Syrian regime in Damascus, is fighting for survival. The Shiite Muslim Hezbollah is considered the prime suspect in the Feb.14, 2005, assassination of Rafik Hariri, Lebanon's most prominent statesman, five-time prime minister and a Sunni. F ... read more


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