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POLITICAL ECONOMY
Europe debt crisis biggest risk for Japan economy: PM
by Staff Writers
Tokyo (AFP) May 13, 2012


The European debt crisis is the biggest risk for the Japanese economy, Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda said in a weekend interview with Dow Jones Newswires, citing it as a factor behind the yen's strength.

"It is risky to just stand on the sidelines and watch. This is not just about Europe, there is a possibility that it may spread to the global economy," Noda said on Saturday.

"Of course this is the biggest downside risk factor for the Japanese economy."

Noda, who will attend a Group of Eight summit this month, said he hoped to discuss with the leaders ways to contain the crisis, noting Japan had made its contribution through a $60 billion pledge to the International Monetary Fund to boost a global firewall.

While Europe must first take measures on its own to prevent contagion, Noda said other nations cannot afford to sit idle.

The prime minister said Japanese authorities were keeping a close eye on the yen's recent rise.

The dollar has fallen back below 80 yen recently due to renewed concerns over the European debt crisis, even though a credit easing by the Band of Japan in February lifted the dollar above 84 yen.

A stronger yen makes Japanese exports less competitive and reduces the value of Japanese firms' foreign income.

"We need to closely monitor the market to see whether the recent moves deviate from the real state of the economy or are driven by speculative moves," Noda said.

To stem the yen's rise, Noda did not rule out Tokyo taking unilateral action in the future.

"There were times when we received cooperation," he said, referring to the joint yen-selling intervention by the Group of Seven nations in March last year after Japan was hit by a magnitude 9.0 earthquake and tsunami.

"But there were times when we acted alone. There can be various approaches."

Noda also turned to the Bank of Japan to help battle the persistent strength of the yen.

"We share with the BoJ the view that the strong yen and deflation are challenges for the economy that must be overcome," Noda said.

"I hope the BoJ will take bold steps in a timely and appropriate manner with such thinking in mind."

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Japan Inc to see 24% rise in pre-tax profit: survey
Tokyo (AFP) May 12, 2012 - Publicly traded firms in Japan expect their combined pre-tax profit to rise 24 percent in the current fiscal year, leaving behind a year hit by natural disasters, a survey said Saturday.

Overall sales are seen to rise six percent for the year to March 2013, the sharpest gain since the global financial crisis of 2008 after the spectacular failure of US investment bank Lehman Brothers, said the Nikkei newspaper.

Automakers will lead the gains, as they expect a rebound in production on growing demand in emerging economies and the key United States market, the leading business daily said.

The seven major automakers project a combined pretax profit of 2.74 trillion yen ($34.27 billion), up about 1.3 trillion yen from the previous year, it said.

In stark contrast, electronics makers, such as Sony, Panasonic and Sharp, posted a combined pretax loss of nearly one trillion yen last fiscal year to March 2012, due largely to a slump in television operations, the Nikkei said.

With little restructuring expenses on the horizon, the electronics firms are expected to turn a combined pre-tax profit of 330 billion yen, the newspaper said.

In the past fiscal year, the pre-tax profit of listed companies fell 13 percent from a year earlier, hurt by a strong yen and the major earthquake and tsunami of March 2011, the Nikkei said.

Japanese manufacturers were also hit by severe flooding in Thailand late last year, which damaged factories and disrupted global supplies chains.

For this fiscal year, the strong yen will remain a major cause for concern among Japan Inc., the Nikkei said.

The top business daily tallied earnings forecasts for 1,064 companies that disclosed forecasts for the ongoing fiscal year by Friday.

They account for 68 percent of all listed firms, and 88 percent of total market value, the Nikkei said.



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