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CLIMATE SCIENCE
European climate change to hit Scandinavia and south hardest
by Staff Writers
Copenhagen (AFP) May 3, 2012


Global warming in Europe this century will mostly affect Scandinavia and the Mediterranean basin, the European Environment Agency warned on Thursday.

"The highest warming is projected over the eastern Scandinavia, and southern and south-eastern Europe," experts at the agency said in comment accompanying a series of maps posted on the agency's website.

Europe will be on average 1.5 degrees Celsius warmer between 2021 and 2050 than the 1960-1990 reference period, the agency said.

However moderate the increase may seem, "it is important to note that these are average annual temperatures, potentially masking large extremes," it said.

In northeastern Scandinavia, the temperature change could be as much as 6.0 degrees higher by 2071 than the reference period, while the Mediterranean basin and parts of Eastern Europe will also see big changes.

Higher temperatures and dwindling rainfall "will have significant effects on agriculture and tourism industries, especially in the Mediterranean area," the agency said.

"Agriculture is extremely water-intensive in some Mediterranean countries, accounting for up to 80 percent of water use," it noted.

The agency stressed however that the world could still slow the pace of climate change by rapidly cutting emissions through "replacing fossil fuels with renewable energy technologies".

The maps and comment are viewable on the EEA website:

http://www.eea.europa.eu/highlights/climate-change-what-do-models

Related Links
Climate Science News - Modeling, Mitigation Adaptation




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New Zealand warned of climate flooding
Wellington, New Zealand (UPI) May 2, 2012 - New Zealand needs to plan to meet the threats of more severe floods as sea levels rise with climate change, government scientists warned Tuesday

Storm surge flooding is starting to occur more frequently on the highest tides, the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research said.

Sixty-five percent of New Zealanders live within 3 miles of the sea and the country must plan to manage the growing risks, said Rob Bell, the institute's principal scientist.

Twelve of the country's 15 largest cities are within that 3-mile band.

"Rises of more than a meter by 2100 can't be ruled out, and should at least be considered in assessing the vulnerability of our existing development at the coast," Bell said in a statement.

With rising sea-levels, low-lying coastal areas would face an escalating risk from sea flooding if the sea level rose by 1.6 feet, he said.

Scientists will present their projections for sea-level rise and its impact on the coastal environment at a New Zealand Climate Change Center conference in Wellington May 10-11, China's Xinhua News Agency reported.



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CLIMATE SCIENCE
"Warming hole" delayed climate change over eastern United States
Boston MA (SPX) Apr 30, 2012
Climate scientists at the Harvard School of Engineering and Applied Sciences (SEAS) have discovered that particulate pollution in the late 20th century created a "warming hole" over the eastern United States-that is, a cold patch where the effects of global warming were temporarily obscured. While greenhouse gases like carbon dioxide and methane warm the Earth's surface, tiny particles in ... read more


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