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TRADE WARS
Experts skeptical about a China-Mercosur trade deal
by Staff Writers
Sao Paulo (AFP) June 26, 2012

China premier calls for free trade with Lat-Am trade bloc
Buenos Aires (AFP) June 25, 2012 - Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao on Monday proposed a possible free trade pact between the Asian powerhouse and South American nations that make up the Mercosur regional trade bloc.

"We should conduct feasibility studies on the possibility of a free trade deal," said Wen, flanked by Argentine President Cristina Fernandez in a videoconference with regional leaders, during a visit to Buenos Aires.

"China is prepared to enter into ministerial-level talks with Mercosur nations," he said in the videoconference that included Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff and Uruguayan President Jose Mujica, noting that China is already Mercosur's second-biggest trade partner.

Paraguay is also part of the bloc but has no diplomatic ties with China because it recognizes Taiwan, which Beijing considers a rebel province. On Sunday, Mercosur suspended Paraguay's membership after the speedy impeachment and ouster last week of its president, Fernando Lugo.

In 2011, China's exports to the Mercosur, South America's largest trading bloc, totaled $48.45 billion, up 34 percent from the previous year, while imports from Mercosur reached $51.03 billion, according to Argentine government figures.

Beijing wishes to double this trade by 2016, said Wen.

Wen has already stopped in Brazil and Uruguay during a four-nation tour of South America that wraps up later this week in Chile.



A proposed free trade deal between China and Mercosur would significantly boost trade with the Asian giant but regional analysts see little chance that it will emerge soon.

Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao proposed the tie-up with the regional trade bloc during a visit to Argentina that followed his earlier stops in Brazil and Uruguay.

"China is prepared to enter into ministerial-level talks with Mercosur nations," he said in the videoconference Monday with Presidents Cristina Kirchner of Argentina, Dilma Rousseff of Brazil and Jose Mujica of Uruguay.

Paraguay, which was suspended from this week's Mercosur summit following the impeachment of president Fernado Lugo, did not take part in the videoconference with Wen.

"China is already Brazil's main economic partner and therefore the (free trade) idea will not make much difference for (Brazil)," said a Brazilian government official who spoke on condition of anonymity.

The official said any easing of trade barriers requires "a lot of caution, particularly in the case of China."

He noted that Brazil, the world's sixth largest economy and the dominant power in Latin America, does not have any free trade agreements with major economies.

"China is a very important ally, but I am not optimistic about the chances of a (free trade) deal. The most important accord being negotiated by Mercosur is with the European Union, and if that agreement is bogged down, I don't see how one with China would make headway now," economist Gilmar Masiero of Sao Paulo University told AFP.

An expert on ties between Latin America and Asia, Masiero added however that any such agreement would boost trade and strengthen areas in which Mercosur is more competitive than China such as the agribusiness sector.

"It would increase trade, which is something positive, because China is not competitive in sectors where we are such as commodities and the agribusiness," Masiero said.

But he quickly added that "with or without such a deal, Brazil will continue to sell its soybean or iron ore to China."

In 2011, China's exports to Mercosur, South America's largest trading bloc, totaled $48.45 billion, up 34 percent from the previous year, while imports from Mercosur reached $51.03 billion, according to Argentine government figures.

Beijing wishes to double this trade by 2016, said Wen.

"The call for a free trade accord is a little unexpected," said Lia Valls, coordinator of the Foreign Trade Center of the prestigious Getulio Vargas foundation.

"There are regional countries such as Peru, Chile or Colombia which have more open economies and which are preparing for these Trans-Pacific operations, but here in Mercosur we have more problems," he stressed.

Mercosur has for years been trying to clinch a trade accord with the EU.

But negotiations have foundered so far over differences on agriculture, notably Europe's subsidies of its farmers which undermine South American efforts to sell its own products.

"Industrial policies in Mercosur are more protectionist and China is viewed more as a threat than as an ally," Valls said. "For the bloc, this (free trade accord) would mark a radical change as China is present in many sectors which create jobs."

The experts say manufacturing sectors such as textiles and the automobile could be hurt by a free trade deal because China is more competitive in those sectors.

And therefore, according to Valls, a deal would be benefit a small country like Uruguay but not so much Brazil.

"It's a good opportunity that carries risks, to open oneself to imports, high technology and lower costs. But I think in the end Mercosur will reject it," said Marcelo Elizondo, of the Buenos Aires International Business Development consulting firm.

Meanwhile Kirchner announced in the videoconference that the Mercosur summit scheduled for Thursday and Friday would mull a joint statement "which would spell out the interests of China and Mercosur and would be significant in the context of the global (economic) crisis."

Complicating matters further is the ouster of Paraguayan president Fernando Lugo. Paraguay has no diplomatic ties with China because it recognizes Taiwan, which Beijing considers a rebel province.

Lugo said Monday he would take his case to the Mercosur summit this week as the country's Supreme Court rejected an appeal of his dismissal.

Mercosur groups Argentina, Brazil, Uruguay and Paraguay as full members while Chile, Bolivia, Colombia, Ecuador and Peru are associate members.

Venezuela's membership was approved by the leaders Argentina, Brazil, Uruguay and Paraguay, but the addition has not been ratified by Paraguay's legislature.

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China warns EU against potential trade sanctions
Beijing (AFP) June 26, 2012 - Beijing on Tuesday warned the European Union that EU firms would suffer if it decides to take action against companies in China's solar and telecommunications sectors due to trade rows.

EU firms have long accused Beijing of giving Chinese solar cell makers and telecoms firms an unfair competitive advantage through state subsidies, and have called for Brussels to restrict imports of their products.

The European Union is reportedly preparing to launch an anti-dumping investigation into leading Chinese telecoms firms Huawei and ZTE.

Commerce ministry spokesman Shen Danyang rejected allegations that the two companies received subsidies as "groundless", adding they have been growing through "complete market competition".

He pointed out that many European telecoms companies have operated in China for many years, benefiting both Beijing and Brussels.

"China does not want such a win-win situation being undermined or damaged," he said.

"Facing the grave world economic situation, we think China and the EU should enhance policy coordination... and refrain from using trade protection measures."

The US Commerce Department last month imposed levies of between 31 and 250 percent on Chinese producers and exporters, saying it had found they sold solar cells in the United States at artificially low prices, a practice known as dumping.

The European Union may also follow suit and impose sanctions against China soon, according to previous media reports.

However, Shen warned that any sanctions on the Chinese solar cell industry would be detrimental to EU firms because China is a big buyer of European raw materials used to make photovoltaic products.

"If the EU restricts Chinese photovoltaic products, it will harm the development of the upstream and downstream companies of the EU's own photovoltaic industry," he said.

He said China has so far imported a total of 40 billion yuan ($6.3 billion) worth of equipment to produce solar batteries -- and 45 percent of this was purchased from European nations including Germany and Switzerland.

"We hope the EU will be prudent (in taking any action)," he said.



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TRADE WARS
Chinese premier in Argentina on trade mission
Buenos Aires (AFP) June 23, 2012
Chinese Premier Wen Jibao arrived in Argentina Saturday on an official visit aimed at boosting trade with one of South America's top agricultural producers. Wen, slated to meet Sunday with Argentine President Cristina Kirchner, has been traveling across South America since a G-20 summit in Mexico last week, with previous stops in Brazil and Uruguay. He visits Chile after Argentina. Kirch ... read more


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