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OIL AND GAS
Holiday, Brexit cloud, pull oil prices lower
by Daniel J. Graeber
New York (UPI) Jul 1, 2016


Brexit won't harm Franco-British defence ties: minister
Aix-En-Provence, France (AFP) July 1, 2016 - French Defence Minister Jean-Yves Le Drian assured on Friday that Britain's Brexit vote would not affect Franco-British military cooperation.

"Brexit will not damage in any way the extremely strong defence cooperation that we have with Britain," Le Drian told reporters during a visit to the southern city of Aix-en-Provence.

"This partnership exists and will continue to exist. The British Minister (Michael Fallon), who I met this morning, has confirmed this shared wish to continue with this very strong cooperation," he added.

His comments follow reassurances from NATO chief Jens Stoltenberg a week ago, a day after Britain voted in a referendum to leave the European Union, that Britain would continue to play a leading role in the Western alliance.

Stoltenberg said Fallon, Britain's Secretary of State for Defence, had phoned him on June 24 to offer assurances that London "was not only committed to NATO but also to NATO-EU cooperation".

Light trading ahead of a long U.S. holiday and lingering concerns about the prospects for the British and European economies pulled oil slightly lower Friday.

Global markets found some relief Thursday after the Bank of England said some short-term stimulus was possible in the wake of the economic panic that followed last week's vote to leave the European Union.

In a speech, Bank of England Governor Mark Carney said uncertainty about the so-called Brexit could drag on economic growth for some time.

"While some of the necessary adjustments may prove difficult and many will take time, the transition from the initial shock to the restructuring and then building of the U.K. economy will be much easier because of our solid policy frameworks," he said.

Speaking in London, Peter Praet, a member of the executive board at the European Central Bank, said the regional economy was moving into uncharted territory in the wake of the British referendum.

"Such uncertainty may weigh on economic confidence and partly reverse the recent improvements in investment and consumption, also in the euro area," he said Friday.

Crude oil prices had been volatile in intra-day trading, but trending lower by the start of trading in New York. The price for Brent crude oil was down 0.5 percent to open at $49.48 per barrel. West Texas Intermediate, the U.S. benchmark, was off 0.3 percent to start the day at $48.18 per barrel.

Trading was light Friday as U.S. holiday-goers prepared for a three-day weekend to mark Independence Day.

Crude oil prices have recovered from below $30 per barrel as some modest economic recovery, and lower consumer fuel prices, spurs demand. A report this week from ING Bank found that, at around $50 per barrel, crude oil may have reached a short-term ceiling.

A report from Barclays, published in part through The Wall Street Journal, said global demand for oil softens next year by more than 7 percent to around 1.2 million barrels per day. The British referendum, the bank said, was "another nail to the coffin for global oil demand in 2016."


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