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Iran to use mines, missiles to shut Hormuz
by Staff Writers
Dubai, United Arab Emirates (UPI) Jul 3, 2012

disclaimer: image is for illustration purposes only

Iranian lawmakers call for closing the strategic Strait of Hormuz amid a sharpening confrontation in the Persian Gulf while Revolutionary Guards display their missile might against a mock U.S. base during desert exercises.

But Tehran has a range of other weapons it can use to close down the vital oil artery.

These include the hard-to-detect Chinese EM-52 "rocket mine" that's triggered by the distinctive magnetic our acoustic signature of a ship, such as a U.S. aircraft carrier, and then launches a propelled 600-popund warhead at the target.

Then there's the Russian MDM6, equally difficult to detect, that can tackle multiple targets. It lies on the seabed that fires a torpedo-like warhead when it senses a vessel.

Both these mines can be laid by Iran's three Russian-built Kilo-class submarines.

As the United States builds up its forces in the gulf, including the recent arrival of four new mines countermeasures ships to boost U.S.-British minesweeping strength to 12, the New York Times quoted a senior Defense Department official as saying:

"The message to Iran is, 'Don't even think about it'. Don't even think about closing the strait. We'll clear the mines.

"Don't even think about sending your fast boats out to harass our vessels or commercial shipping. We'll put them on the bottom of the gulf."

It's clear the U.S. 5th Fleet, which right now includes two battle groups headed by the carriers Abraham Lincoln and the Enterprise and their formidable force of F/A-18 Hornets and Super Hornets, and U.S. air power in the region is vastly superior to Iran's military forces.

But the Iranians aren't planning to fight a conventional war with the more technologically advanced Americans.

They plan to employ what's known as asymmetric warfare, in which the weaker forces using unconventional means to overcome the power of a strong opponent.

That means mines, anti-ship missiles and swarm attacks by small heavily armed boats. Think Lilliputians against Gulliver.

By most accounts, Iran is believed to have as many as 3,000 sea mines. Some estimates go as high as 5,000.

Whatever, it's the fourth largest sea mine arsenal in the world after the United States, Russia and China, which has been supplying Iran with these weapons since 1998.

The EM-52 is probably the most dangerous mine Iran has. But the bottom-influence EM-11 and the EM-31 moored mine can also play havoc with surface craft.

So while the anonymous Pentagon official cited by The New York Times may well be right that the Americans will deep six Iran's warships, the allied naval forces face a formidable foe.

"Iran's ability to lay a large number of mines in a short period of time remains a critical aspect of the stated capability to deny U.S. forces access to the gulf and impede or halt shipping through the strait," cautioned U.S. analyst Anthony Cordesman in a March analysis by the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington.

Iran has hundreds of anti-ship missiles, including 300 Chinese-designed C-201 Seersucker weapons and 200 C-801 indigenous Noor systems, deployed along its long gulf coastline, as well as air-launched weapons and cruise missiles.

"It's notable that the U.S. never successfully targeted Iraq's anti-ship missile assets during the war to liberate Kuwait, although they were deployed along a far smaller coastal area," Cordesman observed.

Iran's air force is largely made up of aging U.S.-built F-4 Phantoms and F-14 Tomcats acquired during the reign of the late Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi before he was toppled in the 1979 Islamic Revolution, with some Soviet-era MiG-29s and Sukhoi Su-24 ground-attack jets.

These are outclassed and outgunned by the U.S. air power now deployed in the gulf.

Although Iran's army and the more formidable Revolutionary Guards Corps, a combined force of some 400,000 troops, vastly outnumber U.S. and allied ground forces, it's not likely that any conflict will involve such forces to any significant extent.

So it's from the sea the Iranians will out up their main fight.

How long the shooting will last is anyone's guess. U.S. firepower and technology will doubtless triumph in the end, but it won't be cost-free.

Hormuz could be closed to tanker traffic for several weeks, and the disruption in oil supplies will trigger severe global economic problems.

But it remains to be seen whether that will mean Iran backs off its nuclear project program.

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Iran: EU oil embargo easily manageable
Tehran (UPI) Jul 2, 2012 - Iran said over the weekend it can easily replace the European Union as a customer for its oil as EU sanctions over its nuclear program took effect.

Ahmad Qalebani, Iran's deputy oil minister and managing director of the National Iranian Oil Co., told state-owned PressTV Iran's oil industry won't be harmed by the EU oil embargo, which went into effect Sunday.

"Due to the policy of reducing the European share of Iranian oil exports in recent months, the volume of oil imports by the European countries has now reached a level that new substitutes can be easily found for them," Qalebani said Sunday.

He noted Iran exported 500,000 barrels per day to the EU member states last year, but due to the recent policies, that had now dropped to 200,000 to 300,000 barrels.

That, Qalebani said, is only a fraction of Iran's total crude exports of 2 million barrels per day, and so said the EU measures "pose no challenge" to Tehran.

Also expressing confidence was Iranian Oil Minister Rostam Qasemi, who said Saturday the country is "completely prepared" to counter the sanctions.

"Iran's oil has its own markets, and, to counter the sanctions, all potential options have been worked out by the government," Qasemi told the state broadcaster.

Tehran, he said, is still finding international markets for its oil, and for years has shrugged off sanctions, making Sunday's imposition on EU ban irrelevant.

Iranian Central Bank Gov. Mahmoud Bahmani told the semiofficial Mehr news agency Tehran will be able to tap countries given waivers by the United States as part of its own sanctions against Iran to replace the lost EU volume.

The U.S. State Department has said China, India, Japan, Malaysia, South Korea, Singapore, South Africa, Sri Lanka, Turkey and Taiwan have received waivers from Washington in exchange for "significantly reducing" oil imports from Iran.

Qasemi also asserted that Iran's sales volume to Europe has been lowered to 18 percent of its exports.

"It does not seem difficult to substitute customers for this much of sales because there are currently countries that have applied for buying Iran's oil," he said.

Saying the EU embargo is "irrational and illegal," the oil minister predicted it wouldn't have any effect on the growth and development of Iran's oil industry.

"Today, we are selling oil to those European customers with whom we had interactions since a long time ago, some of whom had participated in the development of oil projects, [as well as] many countries with a high economic growth and developing countries," Qasemi said.

The EU sanctions called for import contracts on Iranian oil to be terminated by Sunday and for EU insurers to stop providing third-party liability and environmental liability insurance for the transport of Iranian oil.

The new measures "reflect the international community's resolve and our determination, to intensify the peaceful pressure on Iran until it starts to build confidence that its nuclear program is purely peaceful," British Foreign Secretary William Hague said last week.

First approved in January, the measures outlaw the export of key oil sector equipment and technology to Iran as well as new investments in Iranian petrochemical companies.

Trade with Iran's public bodies and central bank in gold, precious metals and diamonds is banned as well.

Iran insists its nuclear enrichment activities are meant solely for civilian and industrial uses, as permitted under international treaties, and argues the International Atomic Energy Agency has failed to turn up any evidence of diversion of nuclear materials toward military uses despite frequent inspections.



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Manila (AFP) July 2, 2012
The Philippines may ask the United States to send spy planes to help it monitor a disputed area in the South China Sea, a presidential spokesman said Monday, in a move that could deepen tensions with China. The move to request P3C Orion spy planes would first require the approval of President Benigno Aquino's top defence advisers, Ramon Carandang said. The request "is a possibility as a ... read more


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