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Iraqi cleric Sadr's bloc declared biggest election winner
by AFP Staff Writers
Baghdad (AFP) Nov 30, 2021

Iraq's Shiite Muslim firebrand cleric Moqtada Sadr was confirmed Tuesday as the biggest winner of last month's parliamentary election, results rejected swiftly by key pro-Iran factions claiming they were "rigged".

The announcement of the vote outcome had been put off for weeks amid tensions over allegations of fraud and violence, that culminated on November 7 in an assassination attempt targeting Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kadhemi, from which he emerged unharmed. No group has claimed the attack.

Sadr's movement won nearly a fifth of the seats -- 73 out of the assembly's total 329 -- the election commission said, after a lengthy manual recount of hundreds of ballot boxes.

"The international community supported the Iraqi elections... because no manipulation or fraud was recorded," the electoral commission said Tuesday, adding that voter turnout had been 44 percent.

Trailing well behind Sadr's bloc in the Shiite camp with 17 seats was the Fatah (Conquest) Alliance, the political arm of the pro-Iran Hashed al-Shaabi former paramilitary force, which is now integrated into Iraq's state security apparatus.

Hashed leaders had already rejected the preliminary result -- which was sharply down from their 48 seats in the outgoing assembly -- as a "scam", and their supporters have held street protests chanting "No to fraud".

- Divisions -

Shortly after Tuesday's announcement, several pro-Iran forces -- including Fatah -- repeated their rejection of the results, accusing the electoral commission of rigging them and vowing to continue legal action to "annul the elections".

Their supporters have staged sit-ins outside Baghdad's ultra-secure Green Zone district, where the government, the assembly and many foreign embassies are located.

Despite the significant loss of seats, the Hashed remains a powerful force in the Iraqi political scene, backed by Iran and with a strength of 160,000 fighters.

It can also count on a key ally that made a surprise comeback in the polls -- former premier Nuri al-Maliki's pro-Iran State of Law Alliance clinched 33 seats in the legislature.

In a country still recovering from decades of war and chaos, and where most parties have armed wings, analysts have warned that political disputes could spark a dangerous escalation.

The final results must now be sent to the federal court for ratification.

The parliament will then hold its inaugural session and elect a president, who will in turn appoint a prime minister to be approved by the legislature.

- Backroom negotiations -

In multi-confessional and multi-ethnic Iraq, the formation of governments has involved complex negotiations ever since a US-led invasion toppled dictator Saddam Hussein in 2003.

Posts and ministries have typically been handed out according to compromises reached by the main blocs in backroom talks, rather than to reflect the numbers of seats parties have won.

Sadr, a former leader of an anti-US militia who has often surprised observers with his political manoeuvres, has called for a "majority" government with other leading blocs -- possibly excluding powerful Shiite actors like Fatah.

Analysts said he could strike deals with Sunni and Kurdish groups, such as those of outgoing parliament speaker Mohammed al-Halbussi's bloc, with 37 seats, or the Kurdistan Democratic Party, with 31.

"Now it's a matter of who will back down," said Hamdi Malik of the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.

"So far, neither side has given in to pressure. That is why the chance of escalation and clashes is high at this stage."

Iraq, an oil-rich country of 40 million, is still recovering from years of conflict and turmoil.

Major fighting has stopped since a military alliance including the Hashed defeated the Islamic State jihadist group in 2017, but sporadic violence continues.

Military bases housing US troops have been targeted with dozens of missile and drone strikes which Washington blames on pro-Iran factions.


Related Links
Iraq: The first technology war of the 21st century


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Jihadist jailbreak in Iraq foiled, one prisoner killed
Baghdad (AFP) Nov 27, 2021
Iraqi security forces said they shot dead a convicted jihadist on Saturday as he tried to escape from a prison with two accomplices. The three prisoners, all members of the Islamic State group, were serving life sentences at the Taji penitentiary north of Baghdad, the security services said in a statement. They were spotted as they tried to break out of jail by climbing over an external wall, the statement said. Guards opened fire "when they refused to heed warnings", it said, adding one pri ... read more

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