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POLITICAL ECONOMY
Japan business confidence remains weak
by Staff Writers
Tokyo (AFP) April 2, 2012


Confidence among major Japanese manufacturers remains weak despite the yen's fall from historic highs and an ongoing tentative recovery following last year's quake-tsunami, figures showed Monday.

The Bank of Japan's closely watched quarterly Tankan survey came in at minus four, its second consecutive quarter in negative territory and below economists' expectations for a reading of minus one.

The numbers, likely to spark expectations of further monetary easing by the Bank of Japan, suggest corporate managers have a cautious view of a recovery for the world's third-biggest economy.

The results were "slightly weaker than our expectations as corporate sentiment was more cautious than we had expected it to be on the economy's outlook," said Norio Miyagawa, Mizuho Research and Consulting senior economist.

The figure represents the percentage of companies saying business conditions are good minus those saying conditions are bad. The survey is taken into account by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) when formulating monetary policy.

In February, the bank surprised markets after saying it would increase an asset purchase programme by 10 trillion yen ($120 billion) to about 65 trillion yen amid efforts to kickstart Japan's stagnant economy.

In the survey released Monday, sentiment among large non-manufacturing firms improved slightly to plus five in March, compared with plus four in December.

Large manufacturers kept their outlook at minus four, unchanged from December when concerns about the global economy, Europe's debt crisis and the strong yen weighed.

A strong currency makes Japanese exporters' products more expensive overseas and erodes the value of their repatriated foreign profits.

The survey showed firms expect the yen to trade at 78.14 on average against the dollar in the fiscal year starting April 1, an surprisingly strong outlook for the Japanese currency.

The greenback was trading at a stronger 83 yen level on Monday, well above its post-World War II low of 75.32 yen in October.

"The impact of the recent yen retreat might not be fully counted on the March Tankan," Hideki Matsumura, senior economist at the Japan Research Institute, told AFP.

"Now that the yen has been stabilising at above 80 (to the dollar), the next Tankan is expected to show recovery."

Despite signs of progress in tackling the eurozone's fiscal woes and positive US economic figures, Japanese firms remained cautious with large manufacturers upping their outlook by just one point to minus three for June.

Capital spending plans among big companies also remained unchanged, the survey showed, below economists' forecasts for a slight increase.

Last year's quake-tsunami disaster and record flooding in Thailand -- which hit firms with plants in the Southeast Asian country -- pounded Japan's already struggling economy.

Last week, Japan posted an unexpected 1.2 percent on-month decline in February's factory output after two months of growth, casting doubt on hopes the economy was mounting a firm recovery.

"Improvement in the Asian economy, notably China, will also play a key role in the next Tankan," Matsumura said.

"If the Asian economy shows strong performance in the current quarter, the index will improve firmly."

Nearly 11,000 companies were surveyed between February 23 and March 30.

-- Dow Jones Newswires contributed to this report --

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Japan auto sales soar by record 78.2% in March
Tokyo (AFP) April 2, 2012 - Japanese automobile sales saw their biggest-ever monthly surge in March, data showed Monday, a year after domestic demand plummeted in the wake of the country's quake-tsunami disaster.

Sales of new vehicles with engines above 660cc stood at 497,959 last month, up a record 78.2 percent from March 2011, and marking the seventh consecutive rise, the Japan Automobile Dealers Association said.

The figures, also boosted by government subsidies for eco-friendly vehicles, include large vehicles such as lorries and buses as well as cars.

"The sharp gain was exceptional because it was mainly due to a considerable plunge in March last year when the disaster struck the country," an association spokesman said.

New vehicle purchases slumped 37.0 percent in March last year following the earthquake-tsunami, but have since staged a recovery with rises of 31.9 percent in February and 40.7 percent in January.

January was the first complete month of sales after Tokyo re-introduced subsidies for eco-friendly vehicles that can cut thousands of dollars from their price tags, a move aimed at boosting the domestic automobile industry.

Japanese automakers were last year pummelled by the March disasters and subsequent nuclear crisis as well as record flooding in Thailand, which disrupted supply chains.

The Japan Mini Vehicles Association separately said that March sales of mini vehicles with engines below 660cc jumped 60.5 percent to 253,929 units from a year earlier, the sixth consecutive monthly rise.



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