. Medical and Hospital News .




WAR REPORT
Outside View: 11/11/11
by Harlan Ullman
Brussels (UPI) Nov 14, 2012


disclaimer: image is for illustration purposes only

In the United States, 9/11 won't be easily forgotten as the day terror violated our shores. In Britain, on 7/7, English-born Pakistanis stunned Britain by attacking the London Underground. But, in Europe as a whole, 11/11/11 may have larger emotional impact even nearly a century after World War I ended.

On the 11th hour of the 11th day of the 11th month in 1918, an armistice was declared in the Great War between the Central Powers led by the Kaiser's Germany and the Allied Powers composed principally of England, France and, from April 1917 on, the United States. Tens of millions of soldiers and civilians were killed in what U.S. President Woodrow Wilson predicted was "the war to end all wars." How wrong he was.

Ironically, the failure of the Versailles Conference in 1919 to establish a just and lasting peace in Europe ultimately fathered World War II two decades later and after Hitler's Nazis seized power in a defeated and vengeful Germany in 1933. And the first world war that devastated Russia enabled the Bolsheviks to establish the Soviet Union that would last for almost seven decades. Unfortunately, while history may not repeat, it does yield unexpected and not always happy dividends with roots in the past.

Fast forward: Barack Obama won a tight victory over Mitt Romney. The major reason for Romney's defeat was that his party was so dominated by its right wing that to win the nomination, the former governor moved so far rightward that he couldn't reverse course in time to impress the American electorate who are, by a large majority, of the center.

In the immediate aftermath of the election, talk of compromise and accommodation filled the airwaves. But don't believe that will happen for one second.

Almost certainly, the Tea Party and Republican conservative elements will blame the loss on Romney's shift to the center abandoning right-wing principles and not the real reasons for defeat.

The party will attempt to get both mad and even. In all likelihood, the Republican House of Representatives will grow recalcitrant and America will be in for a rough political ride. Indeed, that the Dow Jones industrial average plummeted more than 300 points on the day after Obama's victory doesn't augur well.

What are the relationships then between 11/11/11 and today that warrant attention?

First, no formal international order or framework existed to promote stability and prevent crises then. Instead, secret treaties and agreements caused the reverse to happen despite intermarriages and familial ties between many of the ruling monarchs in Europe. The fatal flaws were in place to make war inevitable.

Second, economic interdependence in Europe led many to conclude war was impossible. Several years before war broke out, the distinguished Nobel laureate Norman Angell argued in "The Great Illusion," that, because of these economic ties, the cost of war was unaffordable. It was a great thesis. And it was absolutely wrong.

Third, in traveling to Versailles having won a second term in November 1916, Wilson deliberately snubbed the Republicans who controlled the Senate and kept them out of the negotiations. The result was predictable. The Senate wouldn't approve the Versailles Treaty and America lapsed into an isolationism that only ended after the Japanese attacked Pearl Harbor on Dec. 7, 1941.

Today, many international organizations and bodies exist to promote stability and peace from the United Nations, to the World Bank, International Monetary Fund, Group of 20, NATO and others. But these are creations (or relics) of the Cold War. They must be modernized for the 21st century. Yet no one has proposed the need for this innovation even as cyber, climate change and terror become more threatening.

Second, today's scale of globalization and economic interdependence far exceeds that of a century ago. A break down or slow down won't erupt into World War III. Instead, more sinister revolutionary forces are being unleashed particularly in the Middle East and South Asia. The potential geostrategic and political consequences of these harsh economic realities in light of failing government are far from being absorbed.

Finally, as Wilson dismissed the Republican Senate and suffered, both the Democratic-controlled White House and Republican House of Representatives could end up not only snubbing the other. A nasty political and ideologically driven civil war between both ends of Pennsylvania Avenue is not out of the question.

Clearly, 11/11/11 (1918) and 11/11/2012 are worlds and decades apart. The stakes and risks are, thankfully, different. Tens of millions of people won't die in a world war that never starts. Yet, the world could become far more unpleasant in different ways.

Republicans and Democrats are unlikely to heed this history. That will require the application of two qualities so far lacking: leadership and courage. Mr. Obama please take note.

(Harlan Ullman is chairman of the Killowen Group, which advises leaders of government and business, and senior adviser at Washington's Atlantic Council.)

(United Press International's "Outside View" commentaries are written by outside contributors who specialize in a variety of important issues. The views expressed do not necessarily reflect those of United Press International. In the interests of creating an open forum, original submissions are invited.)

.


Related Links






Comment on this article via your Facebook, Yahoo, AOL, Hotmail login.

Share this article via these popular social media networks
del.icio.usdel.icio.us DiggDigg RedditReddit GoogleGoogle




Memory Foam Mattress Review

Newsletters :: SpaceDaily Express :: SpaceWar Express :: TerraDaily Express :: Energy Daily
XML Feeds :: Space News :: Earth News :: War News :: Solar Energy News

Get Our Free Newsletters
Space - Defense - Environment - Energy - Solar - Nuclear

...





WAR REPORT
Deadly fighting near Damascus, Syria border town bombed
Beirut (AFP) Nov 13, 2012
Fierce battles and army shelling in and near Damascus on Tuesday killed at least 41 people, mostly civilians, a watchdog said, as warplanes launched more air raids on a town on the Turkish border. A car bomb, meanwhile, struck the town of Ain al-Fijeh, west of the capital, "injuring a number of people and causing widespread material damage," said Syrian state television. The Britain-base ... read more


WAR REPORT
New York governor seeks $30 bn in aid after Sandy

Statement on the handling of risk situations by scientists

Commentary: Sandy's S.O.S.

Asia's mega-cities more vulnerable to disasters

WAR REPORT
Saudi Arabia to Launch Two Satellites

Gazprom to Launch Two Satellites by Yearend

Research cruise testing EGNOS satnav for ships

Two SOPS accepts command and control of newest GPS satellite

WAR REPORT
Virtual Reality Could Help People Lose Weight and Fight Prejudice

Research suggests that humans are slowly but surely losing intellectual and emotional abilities

A better brain implant: Slim electrode cozies up to single neurons

Significant relationship between mortality and telomere length discovered

WAR REPORT
China's endangered pandas face bamboo shortage threat

Animal rights group puts bounty on elephant killers

S.Asian vultures stable after near-extinction: study

China surveys Yangtze dolphin as extinction looms

WAR REPORT
Italy lifts ban on Novartis flu vaccines

Switzerland lifts ban on Novartis flu vaccine

New opportunity for rapid treatment of malaria

Test allows doctors to see disease without microscope

WAR REPORT
Child journalists grill ministers at China congress

Dalai Lama 'despised' by Chinese people

China not 'serious' in Tibet immolations probe: Dalai Lama

Grumbling 'volunteers' roped into Beijing crackdown

WAR REPORT
Piracy will swell again if seas not policed: S.African Navy

Mekong River attackers get death sentences

West African pirates target oil tankers

Pirate killed off Somali coast: NATO

WAR REPORT
Japan's economy shrinks, raising fears of recession

'World's workshop' China aims to reinvent itself

China's Hu calls for new economic growth model

Discord rules EU talks on 2013 budget




The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2012 - Space Media Network. AFP, UPI and IANS news wire stories are copyright Agence France-Presse, United Press International and Indo-Asia News Service. ESA Portal Reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. Advertising does not imply endorsement,agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by Space Media Network on any Web page published or hosted by Space Media Network. Privacy Statement