. Medical and Hospital News .




POLITICAL ECONOMY
Outside View: Are stocks a sucker's bet?
by Peter Morici
College Park, Md. (UPI) Jan 28, 2013


disclaimer: image is for illustration purposes only

With corporate profits at record levels and stocks regaining the ground lost during the financial crisis, Wall Street anxiously anticipates the return of the individual investors to equity markets.

It may be a long wait because the little guy may have concluded stocks are a sucker's bet.

Investors, as opposed to traders, buy stocks in companies whose profits they expect to rise. The conventional wisdom says stock prices will follow profits up but over the last two business cycles, that simply hasn't happened.

In March 2000, the Standard and Poor's 500 first closed at more than 1,500. Since corporate profits are up 135 percent but stocks have made virtually no gain since over the last 13 years.

Buying stocks doesn't seem to pay any more because most of the increased value created by higher profits has been captured by hedge funds, electronic traders, private equity funds, aggressive M&A shops and trading desks at investment banks, which have multiplied over the last two decades.

Their activities, essentially, fall into two categories: Aggressive trading -- e.g., exploiting complex shorting opportunities, quickly detecting and exploiting movements in trading intentions of large mutual funds and other tactics often associated with exotic hedged bets and electronic trading; and direct asset purchases -- buying underperforming companies, all or in part, to force managers to pay out large sums, rearrange their companies through mergers and divestitures or exploit unattended business opportunities incumbent managers have been lazy about pursuing.

Not all of this is negative to stock prices or unfair.

Shrewdly synthesizing public information to identify value in companies ahead of other investors is the way stars like Warren Buffet became legends. Stock prices rise permanently in wake of their actions and that's good for the ordinary investor already in the stocks they pick.

Shaping up underperforming companies likely started even before the first Greek shippers bought out rivals to discharge incompetent captains and reduce seafaring risk, spread overhead and accomplish more leverage with potters, weavers, farmers and foreign merchants.

Nevertheless, too much of a good thing -- electronic trading and aggressive hedging -- can be disruptive and impose unnecessary risks. Look at the costs imposed by the May 2010 Flash Crash and consider how private equity firms and M&A shops acquire companies and load up them with debt, make big payouts to dealmakers and then later disappoint investors and creditors.

Through superior information, quick execution and aggressive marketing, traders and dealmakers capture a great deal of the potential increase in value created by new and anticipated corporate profits before that value is recognized in stock prices. This results in lavish compensation for traders and dealmakers and stock prices that don't rise with profits.

Instead of ordinary folks getting a decent return in their IRAs -- in line with the rise in corporate profits -- real estate prices in the Hamptons and luxury goods sales at Manhattan's finest stores soar.

Hedge funds, electronic traders, private equity and M&A shops do act on information that is obtained through careful, legitimate research but the ordinary investor simply doesn't have the resources to compete with those efforts.

Moreover, as several SEC investigations into insider trading indicate, critical competitive information is sometimes obtained through unethical and illegal means -- data pried from incautious corporate officials and through electronic espionage further disadvantages opportunities for gains by individual investors and conventional mutual and pension funds.

The ordinary investors are simply outgunned. For him stocks have become a rigged game.

(Peter Morici is an economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, and widely published columnist. Follow him on Twitter: @pmorici1.)

(United Press International's "Outside View" commentaries are written by outside contributors who specialize in a variety of important issues. The views expressed do not necessarily reflect those of United Press International. In the interests of creating an open forum, original submissions are invited.)

.


Related Links
The Economy






Comment on this article via your Facebook, Yahoo, AOL, Hotmail login.

Share this article via these popular social media networks
del.icio.usdel.icio.us DiggDigg RedditReddit GoogleGoogle




Memory Foam Mattress Review

Newsletters :: SpaceDaily Express :: SpaceWar Express :: TerraDaily Express :: Energy Daily
XML Feeds :: Space News :: Earth News :: War News :: Solar Energy News

Get Our Free Newsletters
Space - Defense - Environment - Energy - Solar - Nuclear

...





POLITICAL ECONOMY
Uruguay faces further dips in growth
Montevideo, Uruguay (UPI) Jan 24, 2013
Uruguayan President Jose Mujica faced renewed pressure on approval ratings after senior aides revised estimates for earnings from inward tourism weeks after revised forecasts of declining national growth. Tourist inflows from Latin American and Caribbean countries and international arrivals overall dipped in the first few weeks of the country's summer season, usually a boom period for i ... read more


POLITICAL ECONOMY
Boss of Fukushima operator quizzed for negligence

Kerry urges 'fresh thinking' to tackle global woes

Philippines typhoon victims need more help: UN

Canada to resettle up to 5,000 Iranian, Iraqi refugees

POLITICAL ECONOMY
AFRL Selects Surrey Satellite US to Evaluate Small Satellite Approach to GPS

Lockheed Martin Awarded Contract to Sustain Ground Station for Global Positioning System

China promotes Beidou technology on transport vehicles

New location system could compete with GPS

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Bindi Irwin slams Hillary Clinton editors over essay

A relative from the Tianyuan Cave

Four-stranded 'quadruple helix' DNA structure proven to exist in human cells

Geneticist wants to revive Neanderthals

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Namibia offers model to tackle poaching scourge

Malaysian is named head of UN biodiversity panel

S. Africa tries to capture thousands of runaway crocs

Treat illegal wildlife trade as serious crime: CITES

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Two Cambodians die from bird flu: WHO

One in five were infected by pandemic flu

Swine flu kills three in Central Europe

Scientists lift freeze on controversial flu research

POLITICAL ECONOMY
China tries two Tibetan self-immolation 'inciters': media

China's mass annual New Year migration begins

China dissident makes film on disputed death

China woman held in morgue for three years: media

POLITICAL ECONOMY
11 kidnapped Sudanese freed in Darfur: media

Britain earmarks $3.56M for anti-piracy

Several killed in failed French raid to free Somalia hostage

Police among dead in gambling shootout

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Outside View: Are stocks a sucker's bet?

Uruguay faces further dips in growth

China manufacturing growth hits two-year high

BoJ meeting expected to usher in fresh easing measures




The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2012 - Space Media Network. AFP, UPI and IANS news wire stories are copyright Agence France-Presse, United Press International and Indo-Asia News Service. ESA Portal Reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. Advertising does not imply endorsement,agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by Space Media Network on any Web page published or hosted by Space Media Network. Privacy Statement