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TRADE WARS
Outside View: Get tough with China
by Peter Morici
College Park, Md. (UPI) Sep 18, 2012

disclaimer: image is for illustration purposes only

Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney is right: The United States must get tough with China to restore growth and good-paying jobs.

The idea behind free trade appears compelling. Let each nation specialize in what it does best to raise productivity and incomes. But Americans don't share in those benefits, because U.S. President Barack Obama lets China and others cheat on the rules, with only token opposition at the World Trade Organization.

Through the WTO, industrialized nations have greatly reduced tariffs and limited domestic policies that discriminate against imports or artificially boost exports. However, to optimize trade and create good jobs for all, every nation must play by the same rules, and exchange rates -- which translate prices for U.S. goods into yuan, euro and the like -- must be free to adjust to reflect differences in national production costs.

Exchange rates are established in markets, where exporters, importers and investors buy and sell currencies needed to conduct international commerce. Unfortunately, China and other Asian governments blatantly manipulate those markets. Lacking a credible American response, this has ruinous consequences for growth and American workers.

Also, Beijing imposes high tariffs -- for example, about 25 percent on autos -- subsidizes exports, requires state agencies and enterprises to buy Chinese products, and refuses to adequately protect U.S. patents and copyrights.

These promote Chinese manufacturing in industries where high productivity and superior product designs would make American goods more competitive. It compels companies like GM and Apple to locate facilities in China and give away knowhow to Chinese partners in Beijing-mandated joint ventures.

Ultimately, U.S. companies heavily invested in China become apologists for Chinese policies and work to block meaningful U.S. actions in defense of American workers.

The United States annually exports $2.2 trillion in goods and services and these finance a like amount of imports. This raises U.S. gross domestic product by about $220 billion because workers are about 10 percent more productive in export industries, such as software, than in import-competing industries, such as apparel.

Unfortunately, U.S. imports exceed exports by nearly $600 billion and workers released from making those products go into non-trade-competing industries, such as retailing, where productivity is at least 50 percent lower.

If they can't find work, this slashes gross domestic product by at least $300 billion, overwhelming the gains from trade and forces workers to accept lower wages. In actual fact, that appears to be what is happening.

Currency manipulation creates as much as a huge subsidy on Chinese exports. Other Asian countries are impelled to follow similar policies, lest their exports become uncompetitive with Chinese products.

Huge trade imbalances between Asia and the West, perpetuated by currency manipulation and protectionism reduce demand for the goods and services produced in the United States and Europe.

To keep the U.S. economy going, Americans must both borrow from foreigners and spend too much, as they did through 2008, or their government must amass huge budget deficits by borrowing from abroad, as it is now.

In the bargain, the United States sends manufacturing jobs to Asia that would be competitive in the United States but for rigged exchange rates and other mercantilism.

The trade deficit directly slices $600 billion off GDP and nearly $1 trillion through the multiplier effects usually associated with a permanent boost in spending or a tax cut.

Americans lose 10 million jobs and wages sink and that's what is destroying the middle class.

Campaigning in 2008, Barack Obama promised to deal with Chinese currency manipulation and protectionism but he has failed beyond token complaints to the WTO.

It will be impossible for the United States to create the 14 million jobs needed to bring unemployment down to pre-recession levels without taking on China.

For that Americans need another president -- one with the courage to stand up to China.

(Peter Morici is a professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland School, and a widely published columnist.)

(United Press International's "Outside View" commentaries are written by outside contributors who specialize in a variety of important issues. The views expressed do not necessarily reflect those of United Press International. In the interests of creating an open forum, original submissions are invited.)

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Despite concerns, most in US back China ties
Washington (AFP) Sept 18, 2012 - Despite the tough talk on China in the US election, most Americans support a strong relationship with the Asian power and do not view its rise as a major concern, a survey said Tuesday.

The Pew Research Center poll found often contradictory sentiments among the US public who considered the Chinese to be hardworking but at the same time lacked trust in China and voiced concern over its economic strength.

Some 56 percent of the public said the United States should "be tough" with China on economic or trade issues. But nearly two-thirds believed ties were in good shape and 55 percent supported a "strong relationship" with China.

The public did not rank China high on a list of potential threats to the United States, putting it below Islamic extremism, the Iranian and North Korean nuclear programs, global financial instability and drug-linked violence in Mexico.

"On the whole, they don't see China as an enemy and they don't think relations are bad," said Richard Wike, associate director of the Pew Global Attitudes Project.

"But they are concerned and they believe that China's growth -- particularly its economic growth -- is a threat to the US on issues like jobs, debt and the trade deficit."

Only 26 percent of the general public said China could be trusted to a significant extent. Just one-third believed that China considered other countries' interests in its foreign policy, while the vast majority thought the United States took others into account.

Both President Barack Obama and his Republican challenger Mitt Romney have taken aim at China as they campaign for November 6 elections, with Obama seeking World Trade Organization action against Chinese auto subsidies.

Romney has vowed a much tougher line on China if he wins, including immediately declaring that China is manipulating its currency to make its exports artificially cheaper.

The survey found that an overwhelming 93 percent of the US general public considered Chinese people to be hardworking, more than what Americans said about themselves.

But only 28 percent of Americans said the Chinese were generous, compared with 78 percent who said so about their own country.

Yet the US public was not always flattering about itself. Majorities described American people as arrogant, selfish and rude, traits that most did not say about Chinese people.

The Pew Research Center showed gaps in perceptions of China between experts and the general public. Among experts -- scholars, government workers, businesspeople, journalists and retired military -- 84 percent supported a "strong relationship" with China, far more than the public.

Human rights were more important to the general public, with more than half saying that the United States should promote improvements in China's record.

Some 36 percent of the public said that the United States should advocate for more freedom in Tibet, a stance taken by just nine percent of businesspeople and eight percent of scholars.

Consistent with other recent studies, the survey found gaps by age, with younger Americans holding more positive feelings toward China.

The Pew Research Center surveyed 1,004 members of the general public and 305 foreign experts in the study, which was conducted in cooperation with think tanks including the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars.



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