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NUKEWARS
Outside View: Rouhani's election
by James Zumwalt
Herndon, Va. (UPI) Jul 2, 2013


Alternatives to Iran sanctions 'are worse': US
Washington (AFP) July 01, 2013 - US Treasury Secretary Jacob Lew expressed hope the economic sanctions aimed at stopping Iran's alleged nuclear weapons program will work, because "the alternatives are worse."

Lew -- whose Treasury Department is tasked with enforcing the sanctions -- was speaking Sunday at a conference in Aspen, Colorado.

"It would be the best thing for Iran and the best thing for the world if economic sanctions worked because the alternatives are worse for Iran and for the world," Lew said.

"I don't think any (US) president should make the decision about whether or not to go beyond the sanctions without having exhausted the tools available," he added.

For years, the US and the international community have imposed an arsenal of sanctions against Iran, accusing it of using its civilian nuclear energy program as a cover for attempts to build atomic weapons -- charges Tehran denies.

The US treasury secretary painted a bleak picture of Iran's economy where, he said, "sanctions are working."

"We are seeing it in Iran's GDP, we are seeing it in the value of the rial, in the employment rate, in the inflation rate. It's not a pretty picture from an economic perspective."

Lew called the current sanctions the "toughest sanctions in history," and credited an international united front: "We have not seen the kind of slippage in international support for sanctions that some people have speculated about."

"The goal is not to hurt the Iranian people. The goal is to change their decision," the Obama administration official said.

"They just had an election and we are going to need to see whether this has consequences," he added, noting that such changes would "require decisions that are made at their highest level."

Early in his first term, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad confidently predicted to other leaders of the Muslim world a major religious event would take place during his time in office.

With his second term ending Aug. 3, his prediction won't happen but Ahmadinejad -- a non-cleric -- truly believed he was to be a catalyst in triggering the event's occurrence.

This leaves us with: 1) an unknown unknown -- i.e., whether Iran's president-elect -- Hassan Rouhani -- will go "back to the future," claiming the prediction will occur on his watch; and 2) a known known -- i.e., whether Rouhani's presidency means it is "back to the past" on nuclear arms negotiations.

Rest assured, THERE WILL BE NO DIPLOMATIC RESOLUTION.

Ahmadinejad predicted the return of Islam's 12th Imam or "Mahdi" -- a 5-year-old religious leader who disappeared more than a millennium ago, ascending into a state of occultation and only descending back to Earth at a time of world chaos to establish a global caliphate to which all other religions will be subservient.

Ahmadinejad publicly reported during his second term he was visited by the Mahdi, who allegedly said the event was imminent.

One reason Ahmadinejad fell into disfavor with Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei was this representation. It threatened the clerics' power, suggesting a non-cleric had better other-worldly connections than did the country's senior religious leader.

Unsurprisingly, Khamenei then announced he too was visited by the Mahdi. But when Ahmadinejad's chief of staff and recently rejected-presidential-candidate, Esfandiar Rahim Mashaei, reported a visit by the Mahdi as well, it was too much for the clerics. They immediately accused Mashaei and Ahmadinejad of witchcraft and summoning genies and another Ahmadinejad staff member of being "a man with special skills in metaphysics and connections with unknown worlds."

Apparently, in a theocracy, only clerics can have such powers!

Had Iran's nuclear program gone according to plan, Ahmadinejad believed he would possess the key for triggering the Mahdi's return. Most Muslims believe in the 12th Imam's eventual return -- to be triggered by world chaos. But while the majority believes it need evolve naturally, Ahmadinejad is part of a small cult believing man can be the catalyst in triggering it -- even having a documentary film produced explaining his role in the Mahdi's return.

This explains Ahmadinejad's relentless quest for a nuclear weapon -- for he intends to use it. While confident its development would occur on his watch, Ahmadinejad apparently wasn't warned by the Mahdi about U.S.-developed malware infecting Iranian computers and causing program setbacks. Completion now awaits Rouhani's presidency. A recent International Atomic Energy Agency report suggests Iran is already accelerating it nuclear activities.

It is known Khamenei makes the calls on Iran's nuclear arms program. He is determined to see it through to completion. Khamenei's only problem with Ahmadinejad was the latter's effort to upstage the clerics.

With the recent Iranian presidential election over,

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Related Links
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NUKEWARS
Iran's Rowhani looks to detente with the world
Tehran (AFP) June 29, 2013
Moderate president-elect Hassan Rowhani said Saturday his victory opened a new path for Iran to engage constructively with the international community and ease tensions raised by Tehran's nuclear ambitions. "Moderation in foreign policy means neither surrender nor confrontation but constructive and efficacious interaction with the world," Rowhani said in his first live televised speech since ... read more


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