. Medical and Hospital News .




SHAKE AND BLOW
Researchers Develope New Way To Measure Destructive Potential Of Hurricane Season
by Jill Elish for FSU News
Tallahassee FL (SPX) May 09, 2013


File image courtesy AFP.

Researchers at Florida State University have developed a new metric to measure seasonal Atlantic tropical cyclone activity that focuses on the size of storms in addition to the duration and intensity, a measure that may prove important when considering a hurricane's potential for death and destruction.

Just ask the survivors of Hurricane Sandy.

The 2012 hurricane was only a Category 2 storm on the often referenced Saffir-Simpson scale when it became the largest hurricane on record, killing 285 people in its path in seven different countries and becoming the second costliest in U.S. history.

Likewise, Hurricane Katrina was a weaker storm than 1969's Camille but caused much more destruction even though the two hurricanes followed essentially the same path.

The new metric, called Track Integrated Kinetic Energy (TIKE), builds on the concept of Integrated Kinetic Energy (IKE) developed in 2007 to more accurately measure the destructive potential of a storm. IKE involves using kinetic energy scales with the surface stress that forces storm surge and waves and the horizontal wind loads specified by the American Society of Civil Engineers.

TIKE expands the concept by accumulating IKE over the lifespan of a tropical cyclone and over all named tropical cyclones in the hurricane season.

"Representing the activity of an Atlantic hurricane season by a number is a very difficult task," said Vasu Misra, an associate professor of meteorology in the Department of Earth, Ocean and Atmospheric Science and FSU's Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies (COAPS).

"TIKE gives a succinct picture by taking into account the number of tropical cyclones in the season, the duration of each tropical cyclone and the time history of the wind force over a large area surrounding each tropical cyclone. This makes TIKE much more reliable as an objective measure of the seasonal activity of the Atlantic hurricanes than existing metrics."

Misra developed TIKE through a collaboration with Steven DiNapoli, a former COAPS data analyst, and Mark Powell, a National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration atmospheric scientist currently stationed at COAPS who created IKE with a colleague six years ago.

Their paper, "The Track Integrated Kinetic Energy of the Atlantic Tropical Cyclones," was published in the American Meteorological Society's Monthly Weather Review.

Misra, DiNapoli and Powell calculated TIKE for each hurricane season, including all named tropical cyclones in the Atlantic from 1990 through 2011, and found larger TIKE values during La Nina conditions and warm tropical Atlantic sea surface temperature conditions.

The information will help them in developing a model that can predict TIKE for an entire season - a prediction that could help emergency managers, businesses and residents with preparedness.

"I look forward to the global climate models improving enough to allow skillful predictions of storm size, which will help us predict TIKE for an upcoming season," Powell said.

TIKE is not intended as an alternative to existing metrics but as a complimentary tool, the researchers said.

The need for more information about the potential for destruction was brought home during the 2012 season. The Integrated Kinetic Energy calculation that TIKE is based on was more than 300 terajoules for Hurricane Sandy. The figure, which represents units of energy, was the largest IKE measurement for any hurricane between 1990 and 2006.

"That means that Sandy actually had more wind forcing over a large area than Hurricane Katrina," Misra said.

"If the public was aware that this number was so high, which is an indication of the large potential for damage from storm surge and waves, some of them might have been able to make better life- and property-saving decisions."

.


Related Links
Florida State University
Bringing Order To A World Of Disasters
When the Earth Quakes
A world of storm and tempest






Comment on this article via your Facebook, Yahoo, AOL, Hotmail login.

Share this article via these popular social media networks
del.icio.usdel.icio.us DiggDigg RedditReddit GoogleGoogle




Memory Foam Mattress Review

Newsletters :: SpaceDaily Express :: SpaceWar Express :: TerraDaily Express :: Energy Daily
XML Feeds :: Space News :: Earth News :: War News :: Solar Energy News

Get Our Free Newsletters
Space - Defense - Environment - Energy - Solar - Nuclear

...





SHAKE AND BLOW
'Sandy' removed from hurricane name list
Geneva (AFP) April 12, 2013
The destruction caused by Hurricane Sandy has prompted the World Meteorological Organization to remove the name from a rotating list of storm titles, the UN agency said Friday. "Sandy" will be replaced by "Sara" after meteorologists decided that the future use of the name could be upsetting. Sandy tore through the Caribbean before slamming into the east coast of the United States in late ... read more


SHAKE AND BLOW
Finding a sensible balance for natural hazard mitigation with mathematical models

Even Clinton couldn't get Led Zep to Sandy show

Brother admits defeat in tragic Bangladesh search

New York's Sandy lesson: evacuate and get boats

SHAKE AND BLOW
Turn your satnav idea into business

NIST demonstrates transfer of ultraprecise time signals over a wireless optical channel

Spatial Dual Offers Dual Antenna For GNSS/INS

Raytheon completes second launch exercise for next generation GPS satellites

SHAKE AND BLOW
Monkey math

British retailer removes gender-specific toys after Internet protests

Humans may have driven ancient mastodons into 'civil war'

Gentle touch and the bionic eye

SHAKE AND BLOW
Gunmen threaten unique CentrAfrican elephant reserve: WWF

Sumatran orangutans' rainforest home faces new threat

Quantum-assisted Nano-imaging of Living Organism Is a First

Outrage over China tiger abuse

SHAKE AND BLOW
China reports four more deaths, 129 bird flu cases

Flu infections rising among Chinese pigs: study

Dengue epidemic hits Angola for first time

Basic disinfectant could halt bird flu spread: study

SHAKE AND BLOW
Cameron spells out British stance on Tibet

New attention on old China poisoning case

China officials holding secret sauna parties: state media

Cancer victim with jailed family faces China land battle

SHAKE AND BLOW
Report: Belgian army sold helicopters to firm linked to trafficking

US feds 'kidnapped' suspected druglord: Guinea-Bissau

US ships look to net big contraband catches in Pacific

US court convicts Somali pirates in navy ship attack

SHAKE AND BLOW
Walker's World: Paris vs. Berlin, again

HSBC says Q1 net profit more than doubles to $6.35 bn

India's startups lacking guardian 'angels'

Outside View: Europe's depression




The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2012 - Space Media Network. AFP, UPI and IANS news wire stories are copyright Agence France-Presse, United Press International and Indo-Asia News Service. ESA Portal Reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. Advertising does not imply endorsement,agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by Space Media Network on any Web page published or hosted by Space Media Network. Privacy Statement