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Saudi subsidies incur huge costs, threaten oil exports

With the world's largest oil reserves, Saudi Arabia has long been able to afford to supply oil domestically at nearly give-away prices. The kingdom burns about 2.5 million barrels a day internally, out of its total production of 8-9 million barrels a day.

Venezuela's Chavez to visit China, Russia, Belarus, Iran
Caracas (AFP) Oct 3, 2010 - President Hugo Chavez said Sunday that he will travel soon to Russia, Belarus, China and Iran, four countries with which Venezuela has sought close political and economic ties in recent years. Chavez did not immediately offer specific dates. "In a few days, I will be traveling to Russia. We have important projects with Russia," Chavez said. A bilateral finance bank to which Russia and Venezuela agreed two years ago could be ready to launch on time for the visit, he said. "A few days ago, I received a letter from the Russian president (Dmitry Medvedev) in which he was insisting that we iron out the technical and financial details of the bank. It is very likely that when I get to Moscow it will be ready," Chavez said. China and Venezuela have boosted their economic cooperation; they have a 12-billion-dollar joint finance fund. And Beijing has said it will spend 16 billion dollars on a heavy crude well in the Orinoco delta area, in the east of Venezuela, an OPEC member and South America's biggest oil producer.

China experts say panda suffocated to death in Japan: report
Beijing (AFP) Oct 2, 2010 - Chinese experts sent to Japan to investigate the death of a giant panda on loan to a zoo have determined that the animal died of asphyxiation, state media reported Saturday. Kou Kou died last month at the Oji zoo in the western port city of Kobe after it had received an anaesthetic so that veterinarians could extract semen from the 14-year-old male panda to impregnate his partner, Tan Tan. Experts found that Kou Kou had suffocated when "objects in its stomach went into its lungs, leading to asphyxiation," the official Xinhua news agency reported. Earlier, reports suggested the experts believed that the death could have been caused by an overdose of sedatives and were questioning why Japanese veterinarians were extracting semen outside the animal's mating period. A breeding agreement between Beijing and Tokyo includes the stipulation that Japan pay 500,000 dollars in compensation if a panda dies due to human error, state media reported previously.

Xinhua said Saturday that China and Japan would settle the matter in accordance with their cooperation agreement on panda research, without providing further details. The panda's death came amid the worst crisis in relations between the two countries in years, stemming from the collision of a Chinese fishing trawler and two Japanese coastguard vessels near disputed islets in the East China Sea. It also comes after Tokyo's Ueno Zoo reached an agreement in July to receive a pair of pandas from China in a deal that will cost nearly one million dollars a year for the next decade. The money is to be spent on protecting wild animals in China. Giant pandas, a highly endangered species native to parts of China, are notoriously slow at reproducing in captivity. There are just 1,600 pandas left in the wild. Nearly 300 others are in captive-breeding programmes worldwide, mainly in China, according to official reports.
by Staff Writers
Jeddah, Saudi Arabia (AFP) Oct 4, 2010
Rising demand and deep subsidies on fuel, electricity and water are burning huge holes in the Saudi budget and threaten to eat into its capacity to export oil, officials and experts warn.

Oil for electricity generation is sold to power plants at about five percent of the world market price, with those savings passed on to consumers. And water -- both from the ground and from oil-fired desalinisation plants -- is sold at 1/100th of the cost.

And with petrol for cars and trucks dispensed as low as 12 US cents a litre, domestic energy consumption is skyrocketing with no incentives for anyone to conserve, experts said.

The government subsidises power consumption to the tune of 50 billion riyals (13.3. billion dollars) a year -- the equivalent of nine percent of government expenditures in 2009 -- said Abdullah al-Shehri, governor of the Electricity and Co-generation Regulatory Authority.

Meanwhile electricity consumption is growing at a rate of 12 percent this year, almost all of it produced by oil-fired plants.

"If the (power) prices remain low, the subsidies are going to be huge on the government budget," said Shehri, speaking at the Saudi Water and Power Forum in Jeddah on Sunday.

"If we continue our current consumption, we will be using 50 percent of our (oil) production inside the country in the future," said Adil Bushnak, a water expert whose research firm Al-Aghar is completing a broad study on the subsidy problem.

Bushnak said the country lacks the political will to move against the subsidies.

"The challenge is how to get this message across to established politicians, who are always afraid to touch the water tariff," he said.

"It is ridiculous because it is only helping the rich."

With the world's largest oil reserves, Saudi Arabia has long been able to afford to supply oil domestically at nearly give-away prices.

The kingdom burns about 2.5 million barrels a day internally, out of its total production of 8-9 million barrels a day.

Nearly half of that goes to fuel power plants, which pay a fraction of the global oil price of around 80 dollars a barrel.

With a surplus production capacity of about four million barrels a day, this has not yet impacted its crucial oil export earnings.

But domestic oil use is growing at 5.9 percent a year, much faster than the economy itself, according to the central bank.

Over the long term, Shehri said, "the government support may not be sustainable."

Meanwhile groundwater, as scarce in the desert kingdom as oil is bounteous, is being sucked up at a rate of four times natural replenishment.

So Saudis are increasingly dependent on water from electricity-intensive desalinisation plants.

But at rates he called "almost free", there is no incentive for limiting water consumption, Minister for Water and Electricity Abdullah al-Hussayen acknowledged.

Consumers pay ten halalas, or 2.7 cents, per cubic metre of water, one percent of the cost to the state water utility, and far below the average world price of 1.81 dollars, said Christopher Gasson, publisher of Global Water Intelligence.

"If you have unlimited demand for something that's essentially free, the system is bound to fail," Gasson said.

The issue is convincing ministers at the cabinet level, and above them the royal court of King Abdullah, to force consumers to pay more.

Hussayen points out that Saudi consumers are clearly willing to pay 200 riyals (53 dollars) a month for their cell phones, while they pay only a few riyals for water.

And indeed, poorer rural Saudis who live off the piped water network pay ten times or more than the official price to buy water from tanker trucks.

The country is now moving toward developing alternatives to oil-fired power, including solar, wind and nuclear, and introducing more recycling of water.

A pilot project for a solar-powered desalinisation plant is underway, and the government has announced the King Abdullah City for Atomic and Renewable Energy to research alternative energy sources.

But with the subsidy issue unaddressed, there is no commercial incentive for investors in such projects -- meaning more government spending.

"The economics of renewables are not favourable to Saudi Arabia today," said Khalid al-Sulaiman, vice president of King Abdullah City for Atomic and Renewable Energy.



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