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WAR REPORT
What next after Syria chemical weapons evidence?
by Staff Writers
Paris (AFP) June 05, 2013


Kerry asks France for Syria chem weapons info
Antigua, Guatemala (AFP) June 5, 2013 - US Secretary of State John Kerry said Wednesday he had asked his French counterpart Laurent Fabius to share evidence of Syria's apparent use of chemical weapons against rebel forces.

"I asked him... whether he could send us the information that shows us the chain of custody of that evidence, so we know precisely where it came from," Kerry said on the sidelines of an Organization of American States meeting.

President Barack Obama's administration is facing new pressure to act on a perceived violation of its "red line" against the Syrian regime's use or movement of chemical weapons, following the new information released in Paris.

Fabius said Tuesday, citing tests carried out by a French laboratory, that the deadly nerve agent sarin was used "several times in a localized manner" but did not give details of where, when or by whom it was used.

White House spokesman Jay Carney did not give a definitive response Tuesday to the French claim, but said Washington was working with France, Britain and the Syrian opposition to probe the possible use of chemical weapons.

On Wednesday, Kerry said Washington was completing its own analysis and that he was "very comfortable" with the US government's "own calendar" on how and when to act.

"Make no mistake whatsoever: the president's red line is real. He has a set of options which are alive and waiting," Kerry said.

Ake Sellstrom, head of the UN investigation on chemical weapons that has been blocked by Syria, said Wednesday that only an on-site investigation could prove whether the arms had been used.

Sellstrom confirmed, in a statement released by UN spokesman Martin Nesirky, that France had provided new information about the use of chemical weapons when he visited Paris on Tuesday.

"Mr Sellstrom cautions that the validity of the information is not ensured in the absence of convincing evidence of the chain-of-custody of the data collected. In this regard, he reiterates his belief that on-site activities are essential if the United Nations is to be able to establish the facts," said the statement.

The Syrian government asked the UN to set up the investigation but has since refused to let the experts enter the country, insisting that they only investigate government claims that opposition rebels had used chemical weapons.

Sellstrom and his experts have been examining evidence provided by other countries and interviewing witnesses who have fled Syria, according to diplomats.

France and Britain have both confirmed for the first time that chemical arms were used in Syria and Paris says a line has been crossed. So what next in a conflict that has cost over 94,000 lives?

Not much, experts predict, amid resistance from Syria allies Russia and China and ahead of a proposed peace conference, coupled with painful memories of the Iraq war, which was justified by supposed evidence of weapons of mass destruction that never materialised.

Nadim Shehadi, associate fellow at the Chatham House international affairs think-tank's Middle East and North Africa programme, said the confirmation was only significant "if it leads to some action or intervention."

"And I think if it does, it's the worst excuse to use. Because immediately it will remind people of the Iraq excuse. There is enough reason for intervention with the massacres that the regime is doing," he said.

"The red line should have been the regime killing its people. We created an artificial red line to say the regime can kill its people as long as it doesn't use any chemical weapons."

French Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius on Tuesday announced for the first time that Paris had proof the deadly nerve agent sarin gas had been used in Syria several times.

He said in a televised interview that in at least one case, there was "no doubt that it was the regime and its accomplices", adding that "a line has been indisputably breached."

Soon after Fabius's comments, London followed suit, saying it had its own evidence of the use of the odourless, paralysing gas. But the United States remained cautious and said more proof was needed.

"There is no willingness to intervene," said Obaida al Moufti, spokesman for the Union of Syrian Medical Relief Organizations, which is backed by France and operates covertly in Syria.

The organisation estimates some 70 people have been killed by chemical weapons in Syria -- small fry compared to the tens of thousands of others who have died since March 2011 when the conflict began.

Paris and London have called for "immediate and unconditional access" to Syria of United Nations investigators -- access which has so far been refused.

And a French diplomatic source said there is talk of going to the UN Security Council, where two of the permanent members -- Russia and China -- have blocked resolutions condemning Assad three times already.

However France says Russia is on the same wavelength where chemical weapons are concerned and believes that a "unanimous condemnation would already be very strong", said the diplomat.

The sarin gas confirmation comes as global powers attempt to organise a peace conference on Syria that would bring together members of the regime and opposition in Geneva.

The regime has agreed in principle to participate, but Syria's main opposition has refused to attend as long as fighters from Iran and the Islamist-militia Hezbollah are fighting in Syria alongside Assad's forces.

"The international community is expecting after all this that the opposition will go to Geneva to accept to talk to Assad. Totally unreal," said Shehadi.

Ziad Majed, professor at the American University of Paris, said Washington has remained "ambiguous" over whether it wants Assad to stay or leave.

"The proof of sarin gas is a way of reminding everyone that he cannot be part of Syria's future," he said.

Washington also has painful memories dating back to February 2003 when then US Secretary of State Colin Powell brandished a vial at the United Nations supposedly containing Iraqi anthrax, paving the way for the US-led invasion.

No stockpiles of chemical, biological or other weapons of mass destruction were ever found.

"In some ways, the Syrian people are also paying the price of the war in Iraq and the manipulations at the time," said Emile Bitar, researcher at France's Institute of International and Strategic Relations.

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