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WAR REPORT
World powers pile pressure on Assad as general defects
by Staff Writers
Paris (AFP) July 6, 2012

Yemen-style power transfer unlikely in Syria: Iraq FM
Baghdad (AFP) July 5, 2012 - Iraqi Foreign Minister Hoshyar Zebari said on Thursday that a Yemen-style power transfer was unlikely in Syria because its President Bashar al-Assad would refuse to step down.

"Personally I think the Yemeni model would not succeed in Syria. In Yemen, there were supporters of that model, but it is not the case in Syria," Zebari told reporters.

"I do not think the Syrian president would simply give up power despite increasing pressure," he said.

Yemen's president Ali Abdullah Saleh, in power in Sanaa since 1978, stepped down in February and handed over to his deputy Abdrabuh Mansur Hadi under a power transfer deal brokered by Gulf Arab states after months of deadly anti-regime protests.

Russia on Wednesday denied holding talks with the United States about offering Assad exile as a way out of 16 months of bloodshed, which monitors say has claimed more than 16,500 lives.

Zebari said the violence in Syria was in partly being fuelled by Al-Qaeda militants infiltrating from Iraq.

"We have warned the Syrian regime about this for a long time. Al-Qaeda militants used to come from Syria to carry out attacks in Iraq. Now it's the opposite," he said.

Syria, which shares a 600-kilometre (370-mile) border with Iraq, has repeatedly blamed the violence on foreign-backed groups.


A world meeting on Syria urged the UN Friday to use the threat of sanctions to force change in Syria as President Bashar al-Assad was rocked by the defection of one of his most senior generals.

US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton also rounded on Russia and China, telling delegates from over 100 countries gathered in Paris that the two veto-wielding UN Security Council members were blocking progress towards peace.

The "Friends of Syria" meeting insisted that Assad would have to quit and sought a resolution under the UN charter's Chapter 7, which provides for possible sanctions and military action.

But it stressed that the immediate action under Article 41 provided only for non-military intervention.

German Foreign Minister Guido Westerwelle backed the call for non-military action for the time being, saying force should only be discussed "when the implementation of the sanctions has not really made the progress they should have".

French President Francois Hollande also pushed for the Security Council to get tough with Damascus, while the Syrian opposition called for humanitarian corridors and a no-fly zone.

A peace plan drawn up by former UN chief Kofi Annan, which insists on a cessation of violence by all sides, has made little headway and activists say an estimated 16,500 people have now died in the 16-month uprising.

A meeting last weekend of world powers in Geneva agreed to a transition plan that the Syria opposition, the West and Russia have interpreted differently, but Clinton insisted the plan amounted to a call for Assad to go.

"It is imperative to go back to the Security Council and demand implementation of Kofi Annan's plan including the Geneva communique that Russia and China have already agreed to," Clinton said.

"We should go back and ask for a resolution in the Security Council that imposes real and immediate consequences for non-compliance, including sanctions," ranging from economic measures to military force, she added.

The West insists Assad should not be part of any new unity government and the Syrian opposition rejected the Geneva talks as making concessions to Damascus under pressure from Russia.

Taking a tough tone, Clinton said she thought Russia and China did "not believe they are paying any price at all for standing up on behalf of the regime".

"The only way that will change is if every nation represented here directly and urgently makes it clear, that Russia and China will pay a price. They are holding up progress, blockading it. That is no longer tolerable," Clinton said.

Russia reacted immediately with Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov "categorically" rejecting "the formulation that Russia supports Bashar al-Assad's regime in the situation that has developed in Syria".

Hollande said the uprising is now a threat to international security, echoing US calls for a tough UN resolution.

"To those who maintain also that Bashar al-Assad's regime, as dislikeable as it is, can avoid chaos, I tell them that they will have both the most dislikeable regime and chaos. And this chaos will threaten their interests," Hollande said.

Although Moscow did not attend the meeting, a diplomatic source insisted that "Russian political and security circles are changing their position".

"They agree that the situation is deteriorating... even if they continue to defend Moscow's policies," the diplomat said on condition of anonymity.

The Paris meeting follows a gathering in Tunis and another in Istanbul, both of which called in vain for tougher action against Assad's regime.

China did not attend either of those two meetings where the United States, France, Britain, Germany as well as Saudi Arabia and Qatar led a group of more than 60 members, including most EU states and many Arab League nations.

Assad's regime was dealt another blow when it emerged Friday that General Munaf Tlass, the son of a former defence minister who was a close friend of Assad's late father and predecessor, Hafez, had defected.

Tlass, a member of the inner circle of power in Syria, and a childhood friend of Assad, is the highest-ranking military officer to have abandoned the Syrian regime.

A source in Damascus told AFP that Tlass's relations with the authorities became irreconcilable after the regime's fierce assault on the Homs district of Baba Amr in February.

Tlass reportedly refused to lead the unit tasked with reclaiming Baba Amr, and Assad subsequently told him to stay at home.

Sources close to Tlass say his family is now in Dubai while others said he would soon head to Paris. The defection of a senior unnamed military figure was confirmed by French Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius.

A rights watchdog reported at least 29 people killed across Syria on Friday as protesters took to the streets in several provinces after being urged to call for a "People's liberation war."

In Geneva, the UN Rights Council issued a new resolution condemning the violence in Syria and the "widespread, systematic and gross violations" of human rights, including the "indiscriminate targeting" of civilians by the Syrian authorities.

The head of the main opposition group, the Syrian National Council, said at the Paris meeting that humanitarian corridors and a no-fly zone should be implemented.

"All steps have to be taken to establish humanitarian corridors and a no-fly zone," Abdel Basset Sayda said, claiming that Assad's regime "is about to fall".

Morocco will host the next Friends of Syria meeting but no date has been set.

burs-ach/cjo/txw

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Manaf Tlass: from golden boy to dissident
Beirut (AFP) July 6, 2012 - Syria's Manaf Tlass, a top general with close ties to President Bashar al-Assad, has been transformed from a "golden boy" of the Damascus regime into a member of a growing dissident movement with his defection.

The change comes after the regime brutally repressed dissent in his hometown of Rastan in Homs province of central Syria.

An attractive man of 48, Tlass is married to a woman from the Damascus upper middle class. An enthusiast of fancy cars, he smokes cigars and is a regular at fashionable cafes in Damascus. His favourite holiday spot is the French Riviera.

Born into Syria's inner circle of power, Tlass's father Mustafa was a close friend of Assad's late father and predecessor, Hafez, who ruled the country for 30 years until his death.

Manaf became a close friend of Bassel, the dictator's eldest son and heir apparent before he died in a 1994 car accident.

The two men embarked on a military career, just like their fathers had in the 1950s, after meeting at a military academy in Homs. The two joined the elite Republican Guard, the country's top military force.

"Mustafa Tlass made a wise decision: he raised his eldest son Manaf to be an army man, and his second-eldest Firas to join the business sector," Syria expert Fabrice Balanche told AFP.

Firas went on to "take charge of the company MAS, which supplies the Syrian army with food, clothing and medicine. It was a monopoly handed to the Tlass family by Hafez al-Assad because Mustafa was one of the regime's Sunni guarantors," he said.

Both members of the ruling Baath party, Hafez al-Assad and Mustafa Tlass were posted in Cairo from 1958 to 1961 for the duration of the United Arab Republic of Syria and Egypt, whose existence they both opposed.

When Assad took power in 1970, Tlass became defence minister.

The only difference between them was that Assad was an Alawite -- an offshoot of Shiite Islam, accounting for 10 percent of the population. Tlass, on the other hand, is a Sunni Muslim, a member of Syria's largest community.

-- Expelled from the circles of power --

Manaf was the eldest of a family of four children. A general in the Republican Guard, he was sidelined more than a year ago because he was deemed unreliable, according to a source close to the regime.

Tlass undertook several unsuccessful reconciliation missions between regime loyalists and rebels in Rastan and the southern province of Daraa.

Months later he gave up his military uniform and opted for civilian clothing. He set up residence in Damascus, where he let his beard and hair grow long.

Another source in Damascus told AFP that Tlass's ties with the authorities became irreconcilable after the regime's fierce assault on the Homs district of Baba Amr in February that cost hundreds of lives.

Tlass reportedly refused to lead the unit tasked with reclaiming the former rebel stronghold, and Assad subsequently told him to stay at home.

The source said Tlass was furious when Assad refused to promote him from brigadier general to divisional general or commander, when the yearly promotion list was published on July 1.

Sources close to Tlass say his family is now in Dubai, including his brother Firas. After the uprising against Bashar al-Assad broke out in March 2011, the businessman wrote a blog post supporting the uprising.

Tlass's cousin Abdel Razzak defected from the military several months ago, and heads the rebel Free Syrian Army's Farouk Battalion in Homs.

"The Tlasses were pampered by the regime because they were the guarantors of Sunni loyalty in central Syria," Balanche said.

"But when they were no longer able to fulfil this role, there was no longer any cause to hold on to them, especially given that their predatory attitude was contributing to the explosive situation in Rastan."



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WAR REPORT
China joins Russia in staying away from Syria talks
Damascus (AFP) July 5, 2012
China joined Russia on Thursday in boycotting a meeting aimed at coordinating efforts to stop the bloodshed in Syria, where three senior army officers were among more than 150 people reported killed in 48 hours. Moscow confirmed that some Western countries had asked it to offer Syrian President Bashar al-Assad a haven in exile, saying it had dismissed the idea as a "joke." In Beijing, fo ... read more


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